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Direct Exchange Rates over Time
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International Financial Management
Australia • Brazil • Mexico • Singapore • United Kingdom • United States
International Financial tnemeganaM
Jeff Madura Florida Atlantic University
International Financial Management, 13th Edition Jeff Madura
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Dedicated to my mother Irene
PART 1: The International Financial Environment 1 1 Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 3 2 International Flow of Funds 33 3 International Financial Markets 63 4 Exchange Rate Determination 103 5 Currency Derivatives 131
PART 2: Exchange Rate Behavior 185 6 Government Influence on Exchange Rates 187 7 International Arbitrage and Interest Rate Parity 227 8 Relationships among Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates 257
PART 3: Exchange Rate Risk Management 295 9 Forecasting Exchange Rates 297 10 Measuring Exposure to Exchange Rate Fluctuations 325 11 Managing Transaction Exposure 355 12 Managing Economic Exposure and Translation Exposure 393
PART 4: Long-Term Asset and Liability Management 415 13 Direct Foreign Investment 417 14 Multinational Capital Budgeting 437 15 International Corporate Governance and Control 477 16 Country Risk Analysis 503 17 Multinational Capital Structure and Cost of Capital 527 18 Long-Term Debt Financing 551
PART 5: Short-Term Asset and Liability Management 575 19 Financing International Trade 577 20 Short-Term Financing 595 21 International Cash Management 611
Appendix A: Answers to Self-Test Questions 643
Appendix B: Supplemental Cases 656
Appendix C: Using Excel to Conduct Analysis 676
Appendix D: International Investing Project 684
Appendix E: Discussion in the Boardroom 687
Appendix F: Use of Bitcoin to Conduct International Transactions 695
Glossary 697 Index 705
viiCopyright 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-203
About the Author, xxvi
PART 1: The International Financial Environment 1
1: MULTINATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN OVERVIEW 3 1-1 Managing the MNC, 4
1-1a How Business Disciplines Are Used to Manage the MNC, 4 1-1b Agency Problems, 4 1-1c Management Structure of an MNC, 6
1-2 Why MNCs Pursue International Business, 8 1-2a Theory of Comparative Advantage, 8 1-2b Imperfect Markets Theory, 8 1-2c Product Cycle Theory, 9
1-3 Methods to Conduct International Business, 10 1-3a International Trade, 10 1-3b Licensing, 10 1-3c Franchising, 11 1-3d Joint Ventures, 11 1-3e Acquisitions of Existing Operations, 11 1-3f Establishment of New Foreign Subsidiaries, 12 1-3g Summary of Methods, 12
1-4 Valuation Model for an MNC, 13 1-4a Domestic Model, 14 1-4b Multinational Model, 14 1-4c Uncertainty Surrounding an MNC’s Cash Flows, 17 1-4d Summary of International Effects, 20 1-4e How Uncertainty Affects the MNC’s Cost of Capital, 21
1-5 Organization of the Text, 21
2: INTERNATIONAL FLOW OF FUNDS 33 2-1 Balance of Payments, 33
2-1a Current Account, 33 2-1b Financial Account, 35 2-1c Capital Account, 36 2-1d Relationship between the Accounts, 37
2-2 Growth in International Trade, 37 2-2a Events That Increased Trade Volume, 37 2-2b Impact of Outsourcing on Trade, 39 2-2c Trade Volume among Countries, 40 2-2d Trend in U.S. Balance of Trade, 42
2-3 Factors Affecting International Trade Flows, 43 2-3a Cost of Labor, 43
ixCopyright 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-203
2-3b Inflation, 44 2-3c National Income, 44 2-3d Credit Conditions, 44 2-3e Government Policies, 44 2-3f Exchange Rates, 48
2-4 International Capital Flows, 52 2-4a Factors Affecting Direct Foreign Investment, 52 2-4b Factors Affecting International Portfolio Investment, 53 2-4c Impact of International Capital Flows, 53
2-5 Agencies That Facilitate International Flows, 55 2-5a International Monetary Fund, 55 2-5b World Bank, 56 2-5c World Trade Organization, 57 2-5d International Finance Corporation, 57 2-5e International Development Association, 57 2-5f Bank for International Settlements, 57 2-5g OECD, 58 2-5h Regional Development Agencies, 58
3: INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS 63 3-1 Foreign Exchange Market, 63
3-1a History of Foreign Exchange, 63 3-1b Foreign Exchange Transactions, 64 3-1c Foreign Exchange Quotations, 70 3-1d Derivative Contracts in the Foreign Exchange Market, 74
3-2 International Money Market, 75 3-2a European and Asian Money Markets, 76 3-2b Money Market Interest Rates among Currencies, 76 3-2c Risk of International Money Market Securities, 77
3-3 International Credit Market, 78 3-3a Syndicated Loans in the Credit Market, 78 3-3b Bank Regulations in the Credit Market, 79 3-3c Impact of the Credit Crisis, 79
3-4 International Bond Market, 80 3-4a Eurobond Market, 80 3-4b Development of Other Bond Markets, 81 3-4c Risk of International Bonds, 81 3-4d Impact of the Greece Crisis, 82
3-5 International Stock Markets, 83 3-5a Issuance of Stock in Foreign Markets, 83 3-5b Issuance of Foreign Stock in the United States, 84 3-5c Comparing the Size among Stock Markets, 85 3-5d How Governance Varies among Stock Markets, 86 3-5e Integration of International Stock Markets and Credit Markets, 87
3-6 How Financial Markets Serve MNCs, 88
Appendix 3: Investing in International Financial Markets, 95
4: EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION 103 4-1 Measuring Exchange Rate Movements, 103 4-2 Exchange Rate Equilibrium, 104
4-2a Demand for a Currency, 105 4-2b Supply of a Currency for Sale, 106
4-2c Equilibrium Exchange Rate, 106 4-2d Change in the Equilibrium Exchange Rate, 107
4-3 Factors That Influence Exchange Rates, 108 4-3a Relative Inflation Rates, 109 4-3b Relative Interest Rates, 110 4-3c Relative Income Levels, 111 4-3d Government Controls, 112 4-3e Expectations, 112 4-3f Interaction of Factors, 114 4-3g Influence of Factors across Multiple Currency Markets, 115 4-3h Impact of Liquidity on Exchange Rate Adjustments, 116
4-4 Movements in Cross Exchange Rates, 116 4-5 Capitalizing on Expected Exchange Rate Movements, 117
4-5a Institutional Speculation Based on Expected Appreciation, 118 4-5b Institutional Speculation Based on Expected Depreciation, 119 4-5c Speculation by Individuals, 120 4-5d The “Carry Trade”, 120
5: CURRENCY DERIVATIVES 131 5-1 Forward Market, 131
5-1a How MNCs Use Forward Contracts, 131 5-1b Bank Quotations on Forward Rates, 132 5-1c Premium or Discount on the Forward Rate, 133 5-1d Movements in the Forward Rate over Time, 134 5-1e Offsetting a Forward Contract, 134 5-1f Using Forward Contracts for Swap Transactions, 135 5-1g Non-Deliverable Forward Contracts, 135
5-2 Currency Futures Market, 136 5-2a Contract Specifications, 136 5-2b Trading Currency Futures, 137 5-2c Credit Risk of Currency Futures Contracts, 138 5-2d Comparing Currency Futures and Forward Contracts, 138 5-2e How MNCs Use Currency Futures, 139 5-2f Speculation with Currency Futures, 141
5-3 Currency Options Market, 142 5-3a Currency Options Exchanges, 142 5-3b Over-the-Counter Currency Options Market, 142
5-4 Currency Call Options, 142 5-4a Factors Affecting Currency Call Option Premiums, 143 5-4b How MNCs Use Currency Call Options, 144 5-4c Speculating with Currency Call Options, 145
5-5 Currency Put Options, 148 5-5a Factors Affecting Currency Put Option Premiums, 149 5-5b How MNCs Use Currency Put Options, 149 5-5c Speculating with Currency Put Options, 150
5-6 Other Forms of Currency Options, 152 5-6a Conditional Currency Options, 152 5-6b European Currency Options, 154
Appendix 5A: Currency Option Pricing, 165
Appendix 5B: Currency Option Combinations, 169
Part 1 Integrative Problem: The International Financial Environment, 183
PART 2: Exchange Rate Behavior 185
6: GOVERNMENT INFLUENCE ON EXCHANGE RATES 187 6-1 Exchange Rate Systems, 187
6-1a Fixed Exchange Rate System, 187 6-1b Freely Floating Exchange Rate System, 189 6-1c Managed Float Exchange Rate System, 190 6-1d Pegged Exchange Rate System, 191 6-1e Dollarization, 197 6-1f Black Markets for Currencies, 197
6-2 A Single European Currency, 198 6-2a Monetary Policy in the Eurozone, 198 6-2b Impact on Firms in the Eurozone, 199 6-2c Impact on Financial Flows in the Eurozone, 199 6-2d Impact of Eurozone Country Crisis on Other Eurozone Countries, 199 6-2e Impact of a Country Abandoning the Euro, 202
6-3 Direct Intervention, 203 6-3a Reasons for Direct Intervention, 203 6-3b The Direct Intervention Process, 204 6-3c Direct Intervention as a Policy Tool, 207 6-3d Speculating on Direct Intervention, 208
6-4 Indirect Intervention, 209 6-4a Government Control of Interest Rates, 209 6-4b Government Use of Foreign Exchange Controls, 210
Appendix 6: Government Intervention during the Asian Crisis, 218
7: INTERNATIONAL ARBITRAGE AND INTEREST RATE PARITY 227 7-1 Locational Arbitrage, 227
7-1a Gains from Locational Arbitrage, 228 7-1b Realignment due to Locational Arbitrage, 228
7-2 Triangular Arbitrage, 229 7-2a Gains from Triangular Arbitrage, 230 7-2b Realignment due to Triangular Arbitrage, 232
7-3 Covered Interest Arbitrage, 232 7-3a Covered Interest Arbitrage Process, 232 7-3b Realignment due to Covered Interest Arbitrage, 234 7-3c Arbitrage Example When Accounting for Spreads, 235 7-3d Covered Interest Arbitrage by Non-U.S. Investors, 236 7-3e Comparing Different Types of Arbitrage, 236
7-4 Interest Rate Parity (IRP), 236 7-4a Derivation of Interest Rate Parity, 237 7-4b Determining the Forward Premium, 238 7-4c Graphic Analysis of Interest Rate Parity, 240 7-4d How to Test Whether Interest Rate Parity Holds, 242 7-4e Does Interest Rate Parity Hold?, 242 7-4f Considerations When Assessing Interest Rate Parity, 243
7-5 Variation in Forward Premiums, 244 7-5a Forward Premiums across Maturities, 244 7-5b Changes in Forward Premiums over Time, 245
xi i Contents
8: RELATIONSHIPS AMONG INFLATION, INTEREST RATES, AND EXCHANGE RATES 257
8-1 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), 257 8-1a Interpretations of Purchasing Power Parity, 257 8-1b Rationale behind Relative PPP Theory, 258 8-1c Derivation of Purchasing Power Parity, 258 8-1d Using PPP to Estimate Exchange Rate Effects, 259 8-1e Graphic Analysis of Purchasing Power Parity, 260 8-1f Testing the Purchasing Power Parity Theory, 263 8-1g Does Purchasing Power Parity Exist?, 265
8-2 International Fisher Effect (IFE), 266 8-2a Deriving a Country’s Expected Inflation Rate, 266 8-2b Estimating the Expected Exchange Rate Movement, 267 8-2c Implications of the International Fisher Effect, 267 8-2d Derivation of the International Fisher Effect, 270 8-2e Graphic Analysis of the International Fisher Effect, 272 8-2f Testing the International Fisher Effect, 273 8-2g Limitations of the IFE Theory, 274 8-2h IFE Theory versus Reality, 275 8-2i Comparison of IRP, PPP, and IFE Theories, 275
Part 2 Integrative Problem: Exchange Rate Behavior, 286 Midterm Self-Exam, 287
PART 3: Exchange Rate Risk Management 295
9: FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES 297 9-1 Why Firms Forecast Exchange Rates, 297 9-2 Forecasting Techniques, 299
9-2a Technical Forecasting, 299 9-2b Fundamental Forecasting, 299 9-2c Market-Based Forecasting, 303 9-2d Mixed Forecasting, 306
9-3 Assessment of Forecast Performance, 307 9-3a Measurement of Forecast Error, 307 9-3b Forecast Errors among Time Horizons, 308 9-3c Forecast Errors over Time Periods, 308 9-3d Forecast Errors among Currencies, 308 9-3e Comparing Forecast Errors among Forecast Techniques, 309 9-3f Graphic Evaluation of Forecast Bias, 309 9-3g Statistical Test of Forecast Bias, 311 9-3h Shifts in Forecast Bias over Time, 312
9-4 Accounting for Uncertainty Surrounding Forecasts, 312 9-4a Sensitivity Analysis Applied to Fundamental Forecasting, 313 9-4b Interval Forecasts, 313
10: MEASURING EXPOSURE TO EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 325 10-1 Relevance of Exchange Rate Risk, 325 10-2 Transaction Exposure, 326
10-2a Estimating “Net” Cash Flows in Each Currency, 328 10-2b Transaction Exposure of an MNC’s Portfolio, 329
Contents xi i i
10-2c Transaction Exposure Based on Value at Risk, 332 10-3 Economic Exposure, 335
10-3a Exposure to Foreign Currency Depreciation, 336 10-3b Exposure to Foreign Currency Appreciation, 337 10-3c Measuring Economic Exposure, 337
10-4 Translation Exposure, 340 10-4a Determinants of Translation Exposure, 340 10-4b Exposure of an MNC’s Stock Price to Translation Effects, 342
11: MANAGING TRANSACTION EXPOSURE 355 11-1 Policies for Hedging Transaction Exposure, 355
11-1a Hedging Most of the Exposure, 355 11-1b Selective Hedging, 355
11-2 Hedging Exposure to Payables, 356 11-2a Forward or Futures Hedge on Payables, 356 11-2b Money Market Hedge on Payables, 357 11-2c Call Option Hedge on Payables, 357 11-2d Comparison of Techniques for Hedging Payables, 360 11-2e Evaluating Past Decisions on Hedging Payables, 363
11-3 Hedging Exposure to Receivables, 363 11-3a Forward or Futures Hedge on Receivables, 363 11-3b Money Market Hedge on Receivables, 364 11-3c Put Option Hedge on Receivables, 364 11-3d Comparison of Techniques for Hedging Receivables, 367 11-3e Evaluating Past Decisions on Hedging Receivables, 370 11-3f Summary of Hedging Techniques, 370
11-4 Limitations of Hedging, 371 11-4a Limitation of Hedging an Uncertain Payment, 371 11-4b Limitation of Repeated Short-Term Hedging, 371
11-5 Alternative Methods to Reduce Exchange Rate Risk, 373 11-5a Leading and Lagging, 374 11-5b Cross-Hedging, 374 11-5c Currency Diversification, 374
Appendix 11: Nontraditional Hedging Techniques, 388
12: MANAGING ECONOMIC EXPOSURE AND TRANSLATION EXPOSURE 393
12-1 Managing Economic Exposure, 393 12-1a Assessing Economic Exposure, 394 12-1b Restructuring to Reduce Economic Exposure, 395 12-1c Limitations of Restructuring Intended to Reduce Economic Exposure, 398
12-2 A Case Study on Hedging Economic Exposure, 398 12-2a Savor Co.’s Assessment of Economic Exposure, 398 12-2b Possible Strategies for Hedging Economic Exposure, 400
12-3 Managing Exposure to Fixed Assets, 401 12-4 Managing Translation Exposure, 402
12-4a Hedging Translation Exposure with Forward Contracts, 403 12-4b Limitations of Hedging Translation Exposure, 403
Part 3 Integrative Problem: Exchange Risk Management, 412
PART 4: Long-Term Asset and Liability Management 415
13: DIRECT FOREIGN INVESTMENT 417 13-1 Motives for Direct Foreign Investment, 417
13-1a Revenue-Related Motives, 417 13-1b Cost-Related Motives, 418 13-1c Comparing Benefits of DFI among Countries, 420
13-2 Benefits of International Diversification, 421 13-2a Diversification Analysis of International Projects, 422 13-2b Diversification among Countries, 424
13-3 Host Government Impact on DFI, 424 13-3a Incentives to Encourage DFI, 425 13-3b Barriers to DFI, 425
13-4 Assessing Potential DFI, 427 13-4a A Case Study of Assessing Potential DFI, 427 13-4b Evaluating DFI Opportunities That Pass the First Screen, 429
14: MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING 437 14-1 Subsidiary versus Parent Perspective, 437
14-1a Tax Differentials, 437 14-1b Restrictions on Remitted Earnings, 438 14-1c Exchange Rate Movements, 438 14-1d Summary of Factors That Distinguish the Parent Perspective, 438
14-2 Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting, 439 14-3 Multinational Capital Budgeting Example, 441
14-3a Background, 441 14-3b Analysis, 442
14-4 Other Factors to Consider, 443 14-4a Exchange Rate Fluctuations, 444 14-4b Inflation, 447 14-4c Financing Arrangement, 447 14-4d Blocked Funds, 450 14-4e Uncertain Salvage Value, 451 14-4f Impact of Project on Prevailing Cash Flows, 452 14-4g Host Government Incentives, 453 14-4h Real Options, 453
14-5 Adjusting Project Assessment for Risk, 454 14-5a Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate, 454 14-5b Sensitivity Analysis, 454 14-5c Simulation, 457
Appendix 14: Incorporating International Tax Law in Multinational Capital Budgeting, 469
15: INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE GOVERNANCE AND CONTROL 477 15-1 International Corporate Governance, 477
15-1a Governance by Board Members, 477 15-1b Governance by Institutional Investors, 478 15-1c Governance by Shareholder Activists, 478
15-2 International Corporate Control, 479 15-2a Motives for International Acquisitions, 479 15-2b Trends in International Acquisitions, 479
15-2c Barriers to International Corporate Control, 480 15-2d Model for Valuing a Foreign Target, 481
15-3 Factors Affecting Target Valuation, 482 15-3a Target-Specific Factors, 482 15-3b Country-Specific Factors, 483
15-4 A Case Study of Valuing a Foreign Target, 484 15-4a International Screening Process, 484 15-4b Estimating the Target’s Value, 485 15-4c Uncertainty Surrounding the Target’s Valuation, 487 15-4d Changes in Market Valuation of Target over Time, 487
15-5 Disparity in Foreign Target Valuations, 488 15-5a Expected Cash Flows of the Foreign Target, 488 15-5b Exchange Rate Effects on Remitted Earnings, 489 15-5c Required Return of Acquirer, 489
15-6 Other Corporate Control Decisions, 490 15-6a International Partial Acquisitions, 490 15-6b International Acquisitions of Privatized Businesses, 490 15-6c International Divestitures, 491
15-7 Corporate Control Decisions as Real Options, 492 15-7a Call Option on Real Assets, 492 15-7b Put Option on Real Assets, 493
16: COUNTRY RISK ANALYSIS 503 16-1 Country Risk Characteristics, 503
16-1a Political Risk Characteristics, 503 16-1b Financial Risk Characteristics, 506
16-2 Measuring Country Risk, 507 16-2a Techniques for Assessing Country Risk, 508 16-2b Deriving a Country Risk Rating, 509 16-2c Comparing Risk Ratings among Countries, 511
16-3 Incorporating Risk in Capital Budgeting, 512 16-3a Adjustment of the Discount Rate, 512 16-3b Adjustment of the Estimated Cash Flows, 512 16-3c Analysis of Existing Projects, 515
16-4 Preventing Host Government Takeovers, 516 16-4a Use a Short-Term Horizon, 516 16-4b Rely on Unique Supplies or Technology, 516 16-4c Hire Local Labor, 516 16-4d Borrow Local Funds, 516 16-4e Purchase Insurance, 517 16-4f Use Project Finance, 517
17: MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND COST OF CAPITAL 527 17-1 Components of Capital, 527
17-1a Retained Earnings, 527 17-1b Sources of Debt, 528 17-1c External Sources of Equity, 529
17-2 The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision, 530 17-2a Influence of Corporate Characteristics, 531 17-2b Influence of Host Country Characteristics, 531 17-2c Response to Changing Country Characteristics, 532
17-3 Subsidiary versus Parent Capital Structure Decisions, 533 17-3a Impact of Increased Subsidiary Debt Financing, 533 17-3b Impact of Reduced Subsidiary Debt Financing, 533 17-3c Limitations in Offsetting a Subsidiary’s Leverage, 534
17-4 Multinational Cost of Capital, 534 17-4a MNC’s Cost of Debt, 534 17-4b MNC’s Cost of Equity, 534 17-4c Estimating an MNC’s Cost of Capital, 535 17-4d Comparing Costs of Debt and Equity, 535 17-4e Cost of Capital for MNCs versus Domestic Firms, 536 17-4f Cost-of-Equity Comparison Using the CAPM, 537
17-5 Cost of Capital across Countries, 539 17-5a Country Differences in the Cost of Debt, 540 17-5b Country Differences in the Cost of Equity, 541
18: LONG-TERM DEBT FINANCING 551 18-1 Debt Denomination Decision of Foreign Subsidiaries, 551
18-1a Foreign Subsidiary Borrows Its Local Currency, 551 18-1b Foreign Subsidiary Borrows Dollars, 553
18-2 Debt Denomination Analysis: A Case Study, 553 18-2a Identifying Debt Denomination Alternatives, 553 18-2b Analyzing Debt Denomination Alternatives, 554
18-3 Loans Facilitate Financing, 555 18-3a Using Currency Swaps, 555 18-3b Using Parallel Loans, 556
18-4 Debt Maturity Decision, 559 18-4a Assessment of the Yield Curve, 559 18-4b Financing Costs of Loans with Different Maturities, 559
18-5 Fixed versus Floating Rate Debt Decision, 560 18-5a Financing Costs of Fixed versus Floating Rate Loans, 560 18-5b Hedging Interest Payments with Interest Rate Swaps, 561
Part 4 Integrative Problem: Long-Term Asset and Liability Management, 572
PART 5: Short-Term Asset and Liability Management 575
19: FINANCING INTERNATIONAL TRADE 577 19-1 Payment Methods for International Trade, 577
19-1a Prepayment, 577 19-1b Letters of Credit, 578 19-1c Drafts, 580 19-1d Consignment, 581 19-1e Open Account, 581 19-1f Impact of the Credit Crisis on Payment Methods, 581
19-2 Trade Finance Methods, 581 19-2a Accounts Receivable Financing, 582 19-2b Factoring, 582 19-2c Letters of Credit (L/Cs), 583 19-2d Banker’s Acceptances, 583 19-2e Medium-Term Capital Goods Financing (Forfaiting), 586 19-2f Countertrade, 586
Contents xvi i
19-3 Agencies That Facilitate International Trade, 587 19-3a Export-Import Bank of the United States, 587 19-3b Private Export Funding Corporation, 589 19-3c Overseas Private Investment Corporation, 589
20: SHORT-TERM FINANCING 595 20-1 Sources of Foreign Financing, 595
20-1a Internal Short-Term Financing, 595 20-1b External Short-Term Financing, 596 20-1c Access to Funding during a Credit Crisis, 596
20-2 Financing with a Foreign Currency, 596 20-2a Motive for Financing with a Foreign Currency, 597 20-2b Potential Cost Savings from Financing with a Foreign Currency, 597 20-2c Risk of Financing with a Foreign Currency, 598 20-2d Hedging the Foreign Currency Borrowed, 599 20-2e Reliance on the Forward Rate for Forecasting, 600 20-2f Use of Probability Distributions to Enhance the Financing Decision, 601
20-3 Financing with a Portfolio of Currencies, 602
21: INTERNATIONAL CASH MANAGEMENT 611 21-1 Multinational Working Capital Management, 611
21-1a Subsidiary Expenses, 611 21-1b Subsidiary Revenue, 612 21-1c Subsidiary Dividend Payments, 612 21-1d Subsidiary Liquidity Management, 612
21-2 Centralized Cash Management, 613 21-2a Accommodating Cash Shortages, 614
21-3 Optimizing Cash Flows, 614 21-3a Accelerating Cash Inflows, 614 21-3b Minimizing Currency Conversion Costs, 615 21-3c Managing Blocked Funds, 617 21-3d Managing Intersubsidiary Cash Transfers, 617 21-3e Complications in Optimizing Cash Flow, 617
21-4 Investing Excess Cash, 618 21-4a Benefits of Investing in a Foreign Currency, 618 21-4b Risk of Investing in a Foreign Currency, 619 21-4c Hedging the Investment in a Foreign Currency, 620 21-4d Break-Even Point from Investing in a Foreign Currency, 621 21-4e Using a Probability Distribution to Enhance the Investment Decision, 622 21-4f Investing in a Portfolio of Currencies, 623 21-4g Dynamic Hedging, 625
Part 5 Integrative Problem: Short-Term Asset and Liability Management, 631 Final Self-Exam, 633
Appendix A: Answers to Self-Test Questions, 643
Appendix B: Supplemental Cases, 656
Appendix C: Using Excel to Conduct Analysis, 676
Appendix D: International Investing Project, 684
Appendix E: Discussion in the Boardroom, 687
Appendix F: Use of Bitcoin to Conduct International Transactions, 695
xvi i i Contents
Businesses evolve into multinational corporations (MNCs) so that they can capitalize on international opportunities. Their financial managers must be able to assess the interna- tional environment, recognize opportunities, implement strategies, assess exposure to risk, and manage that risk. The MNCs most capable of responding to changes in the in- ternational financial environment will be rewarded. The same can be said for the stu- dents today who may become the future managers of MNCs.
Intended Market International Financial Management, 13th Edition, presumes an understanding of basic corporate finance. It is suitable for both undergraduate and master’s level courses in in- ternational financial management. For master’s courses, the more challenging questions, problems, and cases in each chapter are recommended, along with special projects.
Organization of the Text International Financial Management, 13th Edition, is organized to provide a background on the international environment and then to focus on the managerial aspects from a corporate perspective. Managers of MNCs will need to understand the environment be- fore they can manage within it.
The first two parts of the text establish the necessary macroeconomic framework. Part 1 (Chapters 1 through 5) introduces the major markets that facilitate international business. Part 2 (Chapters 6 through 8) describes relationships between exchange rates and eco- nomic variables and explains the forces that influence these relationships.
The rest of the text develops a microeconomic framework with a focus on the manage- rial aspects of international financial management. Part 3 (Chapters 9 through 12) explains the measurement and management of exchange rate risk. Part 4 (Chapters 13 through 18) describes the management of long-term assets and liabilities, including motives for direct foreign investment, multinational capital budgeting, country risk analysis, and capital struc- ture decisions. Part 5 (Chapters 19 through 21) concentrates on the MNC’s management of short-term assets and liabilities, including trade financing, other short-term financing, and international cash management.
Each chapter is self-contained so that professors can use classroom time to focus on the more comprehensive topics while relying on the text to cover other concepts. The management of long-term assets (Chapters 13 through 16 on direct foreign investment, multinational capital budgeting, multinational restructuring, and country risk analysis) is covered before the management of long-term liabilities (Chapters 17 and 18 on capital structure and debt financing) because the financing decisions depend on the investment decisions. Nevertheless, these concepts are explained with an emphasis on how the man- agement of long-term assets and long-term liabilities is integrated. For example, multina- tional capital budgeting analysis demonstrates how the feasibility of a foreign project may depend on the financing mix. Some professors may prefer to teach the chapters on managing long-term liabilities prior to teaching the chapters on managing long-term assets.
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The strategic aspects, such as motives for direct foreign investment, are covered before the operational aspects, such as short-term financing or investment. For professors who prefer to cover the MNC’s management of short-term assets and liabilities before the management of long-term assets and liabilities, the parts can be rearranged because they are self-contained.
Professors may limit their coverage of chapters in some sections where they believe the text concepts are covered by other courses or do not need additional attention be- yond what is in the text. For example, they may give less attention to the chapters in Part 2 (Chapters 6 through 8) if their students take a course in international economics. If professors focus on the main principles, they may limit their coverage of Chapters 5, 15, 16, and 18. In addition, they may give less attention to Chapters 19 through 21 if they believe that the text description does not require elaboration.
Approach of the Text International Financial Management, 13th Edition, focuses on financial management de- cisions that maximize the value of multinational corporations. The text offers a variety of methods to reinforce key concepts so that instructors can select the methods and features that best fit their teaching styles.
■ Part-Opening Diagram. A diagram is provided at the beginning of each part to illustrate how the key concepts covered in that part are related.
■ Objectives. A bulleted list at the beginning of each chapter identifies the key concepts in that chapter.
■ Examples. The key concepts are thoroughly described in the chapter and supported by examples.
■ Web Links. Websites that offer useful related information regarding key concepts are provided in each chapter.
■ Summary. A bulleted list at the end of each chapter summarizes the key concepts. This list corresponds to the list of objectives at the beginning of the chapter.
■ Point/Counter-Point. A controversial issue is introduced, along with opposing arguments, and students are asked to determine which argument is correct and to explain why.
■ Self-Test Questions. A “Self-Test” at the end of each chapter challenges students on the key concepts. The answers to these questions are provided in Appendix A.
■ Questions and Applications. A substantial set of questions and other applications at the end of each chapter test the student’s knowledge of the key concepts in the chapter.
■ Critical Thinking Question. At the end of each chapter, a critical thinking question challenges the students to use their skills to write a short essay on a specific topic that was given attention in the chapter.
■ Continuing Case. At the end of each chapter, the continuing case allows students to use the key concepts to solve problems experienced by a firm called Blades, Inc. (a producer of roller blades). By working on cases related to the same MNC over a school term, students recognize how an MNC’s decisions are integrated.
■ Small Business Dilemma. The Small Business Dilemma at the end of each chapter places students in a position where they must use concepts introduced in the chapter to make decisions about a small MNC called Sports Exports Company.
■ Internet/Excel Exercises. At the end of each chapter are exercises that expose the students to applicable information available at various websites, enable the applica- tion of Excel to related topics, or provide a combination of these. Integrative
Problem. An integrative problem at the end of each part integrates the key concepts of chapters within that part.
■ Midterm and Final Examinations. A midterm self-exam is provided at the end of Chapter 8, which focuses on international macro and market conditions (Chapters 1 through 8). A final self-exam is provided at the end of Chapter 21, which focuses on the managerial chapters (Chapters 9 through 21). Students can compare their an- swers to those in the answer key provided.
■ Supplemental Cases. Supplemental cases allow students to apply chapter concepts to a specific situation of an MNC. All supplemental cases are located in Appendix B.
■ Running Your Own MNC. This project allows each student to create a small inter- national business and apply key concepts from each chapter to run the business throughout the school term. The project is available in the textbook companion site (see the “Online Resources” section).
■ International Investing Project. This project (located in Appendix D) allows students to simulate investing in stocks of MNCs and foreign companies and requires them to assess how the values of these stocks change during the school term in response to international economic conditions. The project is also available on the textbook companion site (see the “Online Resources” section).
■ Discussion in the Boardroom. Located in Appendix E, this project allows students to play the role of managers or board members of a small MNC that they created and to make decisions about that firm. This project is also available on the textbook companion site (see the “Online Resources” section).
■ The variety of end-of-chapter and end-of-part exercises and cases offer many opportunities for students to engage in teamwork, decision making, and communication.
Changes to this Edition All chapters in the 13th edition have been updated to include recent developments in international financial markets, and in the tools used to manage a multinational corpo- ration. In particular, the following chapters were revised substantially:
■ Chapter 2 has been revised to reflect the balance-of-payments format that is consis- tent with the recent format used by the U.S. government for reporting the specific accounts.
■ Chapter 3 has been revised to improve flow between sections, and to update the manipulation of exchange rates in the foreign exchange market.
■ Chapter 6 now includes a section on black markets for currencies, and a section on the recent challenges of the European Central Bank (ECB) to stabilize financial conditions in the eurozone.
■ Chapter 8 has been revised substantially to synthesize the relationships between the Fisher effect, purchasing power parity (PPP), and the international Fisher effect (IFE).
■ Chapter 9 has been reorganized to improve the flow. ■ Chapter 10 has been revised to improve flow between sections, and to direct atten-
tion to the value at risk method for assessing exchange rate exposure. ■ Chapter 13 now includes a new case study example. ■ Chapter 14 now includes more detailed information about how managers (and stu-
dents) can use spreadsheets to facilitate the international capital budgeting process and apply sensitivity analysis.
■ Chapter 18 has been revised to improve the flow between sections.
Online Resources The textbook companion site provides resources for both students and instructors.
Students: Access the following resources by going to www.cengagebrain.com and searching ISBN 9781337099738: Running Your Own MNC, International Investing Project, Discussion in the Boardroom, Key Terms Flashcards, and chapter Web links.
Instructors: Access textbook resources by going to www.cengage.com, logging in with your faculty account username and password, and using ISBN 9781337099738 to search for instructor resources or to add instructor resources to your account.
Instructor Supplements The following supplements are available to instructors.
■ Instructor’s Manual. Revised by the author, the Instructor’s Manual contains the chapter theme, topics to stimulate class discussion, and answers to end-of-chapter Questions, Case Problems, Continuing Cases (Blades, Inc.), Small Business Dilem- mas, Integrative Problems, and Supplemental Cases.
■ Test Bank. The expanded test bank, which has also been revised by the author, contains a large set of questions in multiple choice or true/false format, including content questions as well as problems.
■ Cognero™ Test Bank. Cengage Learning Testing Powered by Cognero™ is a flexible online system that allows you to: author, edit, and manage test bank content from multiple Cengage Learning solutions; create multiple test versions in an instant; de- liver tests from your LMS, your classroom, or wherever you want. The Cognero™ Test Bank contains the same questions that are in the Microsoft® Word Test Bank. All question content is now tagged according to Tier I (Business Program Interdis- ciplinary Learning Outcomes) and Tier II (Finance-specific) standards topic, Bloom’s Taxonomy, and difficulty level.
■ PowerPoint Slides. The PowerPoint Slides provide a solid guide for organizing lectures. In addition to the regular notes slides, a separate set of exhibit-only PPTs are also available.
Additional Course Tools Cengage Learning Custom Solutions Whether you need print, digital, or hybrid course materials, Cengage Learning Custom Solu- tions can help you create your perfect learning solution. Draw from Cengage Learning’s exten- sive library of texts and collections, add your own original work, and/or create customized media and technology to match your learning and course objectives. Our editorial team will work with you through each step, allowing you to concentrate on the most important thing— your students. Learn more about all our services at www.cengage.com/custom.
MindTap Feel confident as you use the most engaging digital content available to transform today’s students into critical thinkers. Personalize your course to match the way you teach and your students learn. Improve outcomes with real-time insight into student progress, and save time. All while your students engage with your course content, enjoy the flexibility of studying anytime and anywhere, stay connected with the MindTap Mobile app, and earn better grades.
MindTap Instant Access Code ISBN: 9781337270021.
xxi i Preface
Acknowledgments Several professors reviewed previous versions of this text and influenced its content and organization. They are acknowledged below in alphabetical order.
Tom Adamson, Midland University Raj Aggarwal, University of Akron Richard Ajayi, University of Central
Florida Alan Alford, Northeastern University Yasser Alhenawi, University of Evansville H. David Arnold, Auburn University Robert Aubey, University of Wisconsin Bruce D. Bagamery, Central Washington
University James C. Baker, Kent State University Gurudutt Baliga, University of Delaware Laurence J. Belcher, Stetson University Richard Benedetto, Merrimack College Bharat B. Bhalla, Fairfield University Rahul Bishnoi, Hofstra University P. R. Chandy, University of North Texas Prakash L. Dheeriya, California State
University – Dominguez Hills Benjamin Dow, Southeast Missouri State
University Margaret M. Forster, University of Notre
Dame Lorraine Gilbertson, Webster University Charmaine Glegg, East Carolina University Anthony Yanxiang Gu, SUNY – Geneseo Anthony F. Herbst, Suffolk University Chris Hughen, University of Denver Abu Jalal, Suffolk University Steve A. Johnson, University of Texas –
El Paso Manuel L. Jose, University of Akron Dr. Joan C. Junkus, DePaul University Rauv Kalra, Morehead State University Ho-Sang Kang, University of Texas –
Dallas Mohamamd A. Karim, University of Texas
– El Paso Frederick J. Kelly, Seton Hall University Robert Kemp, University of Virginia Coleman S. Kendall, University of Illinois
– Chicago Dara Khambata, American University Chong-Uk Kim, Sonoma State University Doseong Kim, University of Akron Elinda F. Kiss, University of Maryland
Thomas J. Kopp, Siena College Suresh Krishnan, Pennsylvania State
University Merouane Lakehal-Ayat, St. John Fisher
College Duong Le, University of Arkansas – Little
Rock Boyden E. Lee, New Mexico State
University Jeong W. Lee, University of North Dakota Michael Justin Lee, University of Maryland Sukhun Lee, Loyola University Chicago Richard Lindgren, Graceland University Charmen Loh, Rider University Carl Luft, DePaul University Ed Luzine, Union Graduate College K. Christopher Ma, KCM Investment Co. Davinder K. Malhotra, Philadelphia
University Richard D. Marcus, University of
Wisconsin – Milwaukee Anna D. Martin, St. Johns University Leslie Mathis, University of Memphis Ike Mathur, Southern Illinois University Wendell McCulloch Jr., California State
University – Long Beach Carl McGowan, University of Michigan –
Flint Fraser McHaffie, Marietta College Edward T. Merkel, Troy University Stuart Michelson, Stetson University Scott Miller, Pepperdine University Jose Francisco Moreno, University of the
Incarnate Word Penelope E. Nall, Gardner-Webb
University Duc Anh Ngo, University of Texas – El Paso Srinivas Nippani, Texas A&M University Andy Noll, St. Catherine University Vivian Okere, Providence College Edward Omberg, San Diego State
University Prasad Padmanabhan, San Diego State
University Ali M. Parhizgari, Florida International
Preface xxi i i
Anne Perry, American University Rose M. Prasad, Central Michigan
University Larry Prather, East Tennessee State
University Abe Qastin, Lakeland College Frances A. Quinn, Merrimack College Mitchell Ratner, Rider University David Rayome, Northern Michigan
University S. Ghon Rhee, University of Rhode Island William J. Rieber, Butler University Mohammad Robbani, Alabama A&M
University Ashok Robin, Rochester Institute of
Technology Alicia Rodriguez de Rubio, University of
the Incarnate Word Tom Rosengarth, Westminster College Atul K. Saxena, Georgia Gwinnett College Kevin Scanlon, University of Notre Dame Michael Scarlatos, CUNY – Brooklyn
College Jeff Schultz, Christian Brothers University Jacobus T. Severiens, Kent State University Vivek Sharma, University of Michigan –
Dearborn Peter Sharp, California State University –
Sacramento Dilip K. Shome, Virginia Tech University Joseph Singer, University of Missouri –
Kansas City Naim Sipra, University of Colorado –Denver Jacky So, Southern Illinois University –
Edwardsville Luc Soenen, California Polytechnic State
University – San Luis Obispo
Ahmad Sohrabian, California State Poly- technic University – Pomona
Carolyn Spencer, Dowling College Angelo Tarallo, Ramapo College Amir Tavakkol, Kansas State University G. Rodney Thompson, Virginia Tech Stephen G. Timme, Georgia State
University Daniel L. Tompkins, Niagara University Niranjan Tripathy, University of North
Texas Eric Tsai, Temple University Joe Chieh-chung Ueng, University of
St. Thomas Mo Vaziri, California State University Mahmoud S. Wahab, University of
Hartford Ralph C. Walter III, Northeastern Illinois
University Hong Wan, SUNY – Oswego Elizabeth Webbink, Rutgers University Ann Marie Whyte, University of Central
Florida Marilyn Wiley, University of North Texas Rohan Williamson, Georgetown
University Larry Wolken, Texas A&M University Glenda Wong, De Paul University Shengxiong Wu, Indiana University –
South J. Jimmy Yang, Oregon State University Bend Mike Yarmuth, Sullivan University Yeomin Yoon, Seton Hall University David Zalewski, Providence College Emilio Zarruk, Florida Atlantic University Stephen Zera, California State University –
In addition, many friends and colleagues offered useful suggestions that influenced the content and organization of this edition, including Kevin Brady (Florida Atlantic University), Kien Cao (Foreign Trade University), Inga Chira (California State University, Northridge), Jeff Coy (Penn State – Erie), Sean Davis (University of North Florida), Luis Garcia-Feijoo (Florida Atlantic University), Dan Hartnett, Victor Kalafa, Sukhun Lee (Loyola University Chicago), Pat Lewis,Marek Marciniak (West Chester University), Thanh Ngo (East Carolina University), Arjan Premti (University of Wisconsin – Whitewater), Nivine Richie (University of North Carolina – Wilmington), Garrett Smith (University of Wisconsin – Whitewater), Jurica Susnjara (Kean University), Alex Tang (Morgan State University), and Nik Volkov (Mercer University).
I also benefited from the input of many business owners and managers I have met outside the United States who have been willing to share their insight about international financial management.
I appreciate the help and support from the people at Cengage Learning, including Joe Sabatino (Sr. Team Product Manager), Mike Reynolds (Retired), Nate Anderson (Marketing Manager), Brad Sullender and Stacey Lutkoski (Content Developers) and Denisse A Zavala-Rosales (Product Assistant). Special thanks are due to Nadia Saloom (Content Project Manager) and Nancy Ahr (Copyeditor) for their efforts to ensure a quality final product.
Jeff Madura Florida Atlantic University
About the Author
Dr. Jeff Madura is presently Emeritus Professor of Finance at Florida Atlantic University. He has written several successful finance texts, including Financial Markets and Institutions (in its 12th edition). His research on international finance has been pub- lished in numerous journals, including Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis; Journal of Banking and Finance; Journal of Money, Credit and Banking; Journal of International Money and Finance; Financial Management; Journal of Financial Research; Financial Review; Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions, and Money; Global Finance Journal; International Review of Financial Analysis; and Journal of Multinational Financial Management. Dr. Madura has received multiple awards for excellence in teaching and research, and he has served as a consultant for international banks, securities firms, and other multinational corporations. He served as a director for the Southern Finance Association and the Eastern Finance Association, and he is also former president of the Southern Finance Association.
xxvi Copyright 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-203
Foreign Exchange Markets
Investing and FinancinggnitropmI dna gnitropxE
Multinational Corporation (MNC)
The International Financial Environment
Part 1 (Chapters 1 through 5) provides an overview of the multinational corporation (MNC) and the environment in which it operates. Chapter 1 explains the goals of the MNC, along with the motives and risks of international business. Chapter 2 describes the international flow of funds between countries. Chapter 3 describes the interna- tional financial markets and how these markets facilitate ongoing operations. Chapter 4 explains how exchange rates are determined, and Chapter 5 provides back- ground on the currency futures and options markets. Managers of MNCs must understand the international environment described in these chapters in order to make proper decisions.
1Copyright 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-203
1 Multinational Financial Management: An Overview
Multinational corporations (MNCs) are defined as firms that engage in some form of international business. Their managers conduct international financial management, which involves international investing and financing decisions that are intended to maximize the value of the MNC. The goal of these managers is to maximize their firm’s value, which is the same goal pursued by managers employed by strictly domestic companies.
Initially, firms may merely attempt to export products to a certain country or import supplies from a foreign manufacturer. Over time, however, many of these firms recognize additional foreign opportunities and eventually establish subsidiaries in foreign countries. Dow Chemical, IBM, Nike, and many other firms have more than half of their assets in foreign countries. Some businesses, such as ExxonMobil, Fortune Brands, and Colgate- Palmolive, commonly generate more than half of their sales in foreign countries. It is typical also for smaller U.S. firms to generate more than 20 percent of their sales in foreign markets; examples include Ferro (Ohio) and Medtronic (Minnesota). Many technology firms, such as Apple, Facebook, and Twitter, expand overseas in order to capitalize on their technology advantages. Many smaller private U.S. firms such as Republic of Tea (California) and Magic Seasoning Blends (Louisiana) generate a substantial percentage of their sales in foreign markets. Seventy-five percent of U.S. firms that export have fewer than 100 employees.
International financial management is important even to companies that have no international business. The reason is that these companies must recognize how their foreign competitors will be influenced by movements in exchange rates, foreign interest rates, labor costs, and inflation. Such economic characteristics can affect the foreign competitors’ costs of production and pricing policies.
This chapter provides background on the goals, motives, and valuation of a multinational corporation.
The specific objectives of this chapter are to:
■ identify the management goal and organizational structure of theMNC,
■ describe the key theories about why MNCs engage in international business,
■ explain the common methods used to conduct international business, and
■ provide a model for valuing the MNC.
3Copyright 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-203
1-1 Managing the MNC The commonly accepted goal of an MNC is to maximize shareholder wealth. Managers employed by the MNC are expected to make decisions that will maximize the stock price and thereby serve the shareholders’ interests. Some publicly traded MNCs based outside the United States may have additional goals, such as satisfying their respective govern- ments, creditors, or employees. However, these MNCs now place greater emphasis on satisfying shareholders; that way, the firm can more easily obtain funds from them to support its operations. Even in developing countries (e.g., Bulgaria and Vietnam) that have just recently encouraged the development of business enterprise, managers of firms must serve shareholder interests in order to secure their funding. There would be little demand for the stock of a firm that announced the proceeds would be used to over- pay managers or invest in unprofitable projects.
The focus of this text is on MNCs whose parents wholly own any foreign subsidiaries, which means that the U.S. parent is the sole owner of the subsidiaries. This is the most common form of ownership of U.S.-based MNCs, and it gives financial managers throughout the firm the single goal of maximizing the entire MNC’s value (rather than the value of any particular subsidiary). The concepts in this text apply generally also to MNCs based in countries other than the United States.
1-1a How Business Disciplines Are Used to Manage the MNC Various business disciplines are integrated to manage the MNC in a manner that max- imizes shareholder wealth. Management is used to develop strategies that will motivate and guide employees who work in an MNC and to organize resources so that they can efficiently produce products or services. Marketing is used to increase consumer aware- ness about the products and to monitor changes in consumer preferences. Accounting and information systems are used to record financial information about revenue and expenses of the MNC, which can be used to report financial information to investors and to evaluate the outcomes of various strategies implemented by the MNC. Finance is used to make investment and financing decisions for the MNC. Common finance decisions include:
■ whether to discontinue operations in a particular country, ■ whether to pursue new business in a particular country, ■ whether to expand business in a particular country, and ■ how to finance expansion in a particular country.
These finance decisions for each MNC are partially influenced by the other business discipline functions. The decision to pursue new business in a particular country is based on comparing the costs and potential benefits of expansion. The potential benefits of such new business depend on expected consumer interest in the products to be sold (marketing function) and expected cost of the resources needed to pursue the new busi- ness (management function). Financial managers rely on financial data provided by the accounting and information systems functions.
1-1b Agency Problems Managers of an MNC may make decisions that conflict with the firm’s goal of maximiz- ing shareholder wealth. For example, a decision to establish a subsidiary in one location versus another may be based on the location’s appeal to a particular manager rather than on its potential benefits to shareholders. A decision to expand a subsidiary may be
4 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
motivated by a manager’s desire to receive more compensation rather than to enhance the value of the MNC. This conflict of goals between a firm’s managers and shareholders is often referred to as the agency problem.
The costs of ensuring that managers maximize shareholder wealth (referred to as agency costs) are normally larger for MNCs than for purely domestic firms for several reasons. First, MNCs with subsidiaries scattered around the world may experience larger agency problems because monitoring the managers of distant subsidiaries in foreign countries is more difficult. Second, foreign subsidiary managers who are raised in differ- ent cultures may not follow uniform goals. Some of them may believe that the first pri- ority should be to serve their respective employees. Third, the sheer size of the larger MNCs can also create significant agency problems, because it complicates the monitoring of managers.
EXAMPLE Two years ago, Seattle Co. (based in the United States) established a subsidiary in Singapore so that it could expand its business there. It hired a manager in Singapore to manage the subsidiary. During the last two years, sales generated by the subsidiary have not grown. Even so, the manager hired several employees to do the work that he was assigned to do. The managers of the parent company in the United States have not closely monitored the subsidiary because it is so far away and because they trusted the manager there. Now they realize that there is an agency problem. The subsidiary is experienc- ing losses every quarter, so its management must be more closely monitored. l
Lack of monitoring can lead to substantial losses for MNCs. The large New York–based bank JPMorgan Chase & Co. lost at least $6.2 billion and had to pay more than $1 billion in fines and penalties after a trader in its office in London, England, made extremely risky trades. The subsequent investigation revealed that the bank had maintained poor internal control and failed to provide proper oversight of its employees.
Parent Control of Agency Problems The parent corporation of an MNC may be able to prevent most agency problems with proper governance. The parent should clearly communicate the goals for each subsidiary to ensure that all of them focus on maximizing the value of the MNC and not of their respective subsidiaries. The parent can oversee subsidiary decisions to check whether each subsidiary’s managers are satisfy- ing the MNC’s goals. The parent also can implement compensation plans that reward those managers who satisfy the MNC’s goals. A common incentive is to provide man- agers with the MNC’s stock (or options to buy that stock at a fixed price) as part of their compensation; thus the subsidiary managers benefit directly from a higher stock price when they make decisions that enhance the MNC’s value.
EXAMPLE When Seattle Co. (from the previous example) recognized the agency problems with its Singapore subsid- iary, it created incentives for the manager of the subsidiary that aligned with the parent’s goal of maxi- mizing shareholder wealth. Specifically, it set up a compensation system whereby the manager’s annual bonus is based on the subsidiary’s earnings. l
Corporate Control of Agency Problems In some cases, agency problems can occur because the goals of the entire management of the MNC are not focused on maxi- mizing shareholder wealth. Various forms of corporate control can help prevent these agency problems and thus induce managers to make decisions that satisfy the MNC’s shareholders. If these managers make poor decisions that reduce the MNC’s value, then another firm might acquire it at the lower price and hence would probably remove the weak managers. Moreover, institutional investors (e.g., mutual and pension funds) with large holdings of an MNC’s stock have some influence over management because they will complain to the board of directors if managers are making poor decisions.
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 5
Institutional investors may seek to enact changes, including removal of high-level man- agers or even board members, in a poorly performing MNC. Such investors may also band together to demand changes in an MNC, as they know that the firm would not want to lose all of its major shareholders.
How SOX Improved Corporate Governance of MNCs One limitation of the corporate control process is that investors rely on reports by the firm’s own managers for information. If managers are serving themselves rather than the investors, they may exaggerate their performance. There are many well-known examples (such as Enron and WorldCom) in which large MNCs were able to alter their financial reporting and hide problems from investors.
Enacted in 2002, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) ensures a more transparent process for managers to report on the productivity and financial condition of their firm. It requires firms to implement an internal reporting process that can be easily monitored by executives and the board of directors. Some of the common methods used by MNCs to improve their internal control process are:
■ establishing a centralized database of information, ■ ensuring that all data are reported consistently among subsidiaries, ■ implementing a system that automatically checks data for unusual discrepancies
relative to norms, ■ speeding the process by which all departments and subsidiaries access needed data,
and ■ making executives more accountable for financial statements by personally verifying
These systems make it easier for a firm’s board members to monitor the financial reporting process. In this way, SOX reduced the likelihood that managers of a firm can manipulate the reporting process and therefore improved the accuracy of financial infor- mation for existing and prospective investors.
1-1c Management Structure of an MNC The magnitude of agency costs can vary with the MNC’s management style. A central- ized management style, as illustrated in the top section of Exhibit 1.1, can reduce agency costs because it allows managers of the parent to control foreign subsidiaries and thus reduces the power of subsidiary managers. However, the parent’s managers may make poor decisions for the subsidiary if they are less informed than the subsidiary’s managers about its setting and financial characteristics.
Alternatively, an MNC can use a decentralized management style, as illustrated in the bottom section of Exhibit 1.1. This style is more likely to result in higher agency costs because subsidiary managers may make decisions that fail to maximize the value of the entire MNC. Yet this management style gives more control to those managers who are closer to the subsidiary’s operations and environment. To the extent that subsidiary managers recognize the goal of maximizing the value of the overall MNC and are com- pensated in accordance with that goal, the decentralized management style may be more effective.
Given the clear trade-offs between centralized and decentralized management styles, some MNCs attempt to achieve the advantages of both. That is, they allow subsidiary managers to make the key decisions about their respective operations while the par- ent’s management monitors those decisions to ensure they are in the MNC’s best interests.
6 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
Exhibit 1.1 Management Styles of MNCs
Cash Management at Subsidiary A
Financial Managers of Parent
Financial Managers of Subsidiary A
Financial Managers of Subsidiary B
Cash Management at Subsidiary B
Cash Management at Subsidiary A
Cash Management at Subsidiary B
Inventory and Accounts Receivable
Management at Subsidiary A
Inventory and Accounts Receivable
Management at Subsidiary B
Financing at Subsidiary A
Financing at Subsidiary B
at Subsidiary A
at Subsidiary B
Financing at Subsidiary A
Financing at Subsidiary B
at Subsidiary A
at Subsidiary B
Centralized Multinational Financial Management
Decentralized Multinational Financial Management
Inventory and Accounts Receivable
Management at Subsidiary A
Inventory and Accounts Receivable
Management at Subsidiary B
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 7
How the Internet Facilitates Management Control The Internet simplifies the process for the parent to monitor the actions and performance of its foreign subsidiaries.
EXAMPLE Recall the example of Seattle Co., which has a subsidiary in Singapore. Using the Internet, the foreign sub- sidiary can e-mail updated information in a standardized format that reduces language problems and also send images of financial reports and product designs. The parent can then easily track the inventory, sales, expenses, and earnings of each subsidiary on a weekly or monthly basis. Thus using the Internet can reduce agency costs due to international aspects of an MNC’s business. l
1-2 Why MNCs Pursue International Business Multinational business has generally increased over time. Three commonly held theories to explain why MNCs are motivated to expand their business internationally are the (1) theory of comparative advantage, (2) imperfect markets theory, and (3) product cycle theory. These theories overlap to some extent and can complement each other in developing a rationale for the evolution of international business.
1-2a Theory of Comparative Advantage Specialization by countries can increase production efficiency. Some countries, such as Japan and the United States, have a technology advantage, whereas others, such as China and Malaysia, have an advantage in the cost of basic labor. Because these advan- tages cannot easily be transported, countries tend to use their advantages to specialize in the production of goods that can be produced with relative efficiency. This explains why countries such as Japan and the United States are large producers of electronic products while countries such as Jamaica and Mexico are large producers of agricultural and handmade goods. Multinational corporations such as Oracle, Intel, and IBM have grown substantially in foreign countries because of their technology advantage.
A country that specializes in some products may not produce other products, so trade between countries is essential. This is the argument made by the classical theory of com- parative advantage. Comparative advantages allow firms to penetrate foreign markets. Many of the Virgin Islands, for example, specialize in tourism and rely completely on international trade for most products. Although these islands could produce some goods, it is more efficient for them to specialize in tourism. That is, the islands are better off using some revenues earned from tourism to import products than attempting to produce all the products they need.
1-2b Imperfect Markets Theory If each country’s markets were closed to all other countries, then there would be no interna- tional business. At the other extreme, if markets were perfect and thus the factors of production (such as labor) easily transferable, then labor and other resources would flow wherever they were in demand. Such unrestricted mobility of factors would create equality in both costs and returns and thus would remove the comparative cost advantage, which is the rationale for international trade and investment. However, the real world suffers from imperfect market conditions where factors of production are somewhat immobile. There are costs and often restrictions related to the transfer of labor and other resources used for production. There also may be restrictions on transferring funds and other resources among countries. Because mar- kets for the various resources used in production are “imperfect,” MNCs such as the Gap and Nike often capitalize on a foreign country’s particular resources. Imperfect markets provide an incentive for firms to seek out foreign opportunities.
8 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
1-2c Product Cycle Theory One of the more popular explanations as to why firms evolve into MNCs is the product cycle theory. According to this theory, firms become established in the home market as a result of some perceived advantage over existing competitors, such as a need by the mar- ket for at least one more supplier of the product. Because information about markets and competition is more readily available at home, a firm is likely to establish itself first in its home country. Foreign demand for the firm’s product will initially be accommodated by exporting. As time passes, the firm may feel the only way to retain its advantage over competition in foreign countries is to produce the product in foreign markets, thereby reducing its transportation costs. The competition in those foreign markets may increase as other producers become more familiar with the firm’s product. The firm may develop strategies to prolong the foreign demand for its product. One frequently used approach is to differentiate the product so that competitors cannot duplicate it exactly. These phases of the product cycle are illustrated in Exhibit 1.2. For instance, 3M Co. uses one new product to enter a foreign market, after which it expands the product line there.
There is, of course, more to the product cycle theory than summarized here. This dis- cussion merely suggests that, as a firm matures, it may recognize additional opportunities outside its home country. Whether the firm’s foreign business diminishes or expands over time will depend on how successful it is at maintaining some advantage over its competition. That advantage could be an edge in its production or financing approach that reduces costs or an edge in its marketing approach that generates and maintains a strong demand for its product.
Exhibit 1.2 International Product Life Cycle
Firm creates product to accommodate local
Firm differentiates product from competitors and/or expands product line in
Firm’s foreign business declines as its competitive advantages are eliminated.
Firm exports product to accommodate foreign
Firm establishes foreign subsidiary to establish
presence in foreign country and possibly
to reduce costs.
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 9
1-3 Methods to Conduct International Business Firms use several methods to conduct international business. The most common meth- ods are:
■ international trade, ■ licensing, ■ franchising, ■ joint ventures, ■ acquisitions of existing operations, and ■ establishment of new foreign subsidiaries.
Each method will be discussed in turn, with particular attention paid to the respective risk and return characteristics.
1-3a International Trade International trade is a relatively conservative approach that can be used by firms to pen- etrate markets (by exporting) or to obtain supplies at a low cost (by importing). This approach entails minimal risk because the firm does not place any of its capital at risk. If the firm experiences a decline in its exporting or importing, it can normally reduce or discontinue that part of its business at a low cost.
Many large U.S.-based MNCs, including Boeing, DuPont, General Electric, and IBM, generate more than $4 billion in annual sales from exporting. Nonetheless, small busi- nesses account for more than 20 percent of the value of all U.S. exports.
How the Internet Facilitates International Trade Many firms use their websites to list the products they sell along with the price for each product. This makes it easy for them to advertise their products to potential importers anywhere in the world without mailing brochures to various countries. Furthermore, a firm can add to its prod- uct line or change prices simply by revising its website. Thus importers need only check an exporter’s website periodically in order to keep abreast of its product information.
Firms also can use their websites to accept orders online. Some products, such as soft- ware, can be downloaded directly by the importer via the Internet. Other products must be shipped, but even in that case the Internet makes it easier to track the shipping pro- cess. An importer can transmit its order for products via e-mail to the exporter, and when the warehouse ships the products it can send an e-mail message to the importer and to the exporter’s headquarters. The warehouse may also use technology to monitor its inventory of products so that suppliers are automatically notified to send more sup- plies once the inventory falls below a specified level. If the exporter has multiple ware- houses, the Internet allows them to operate as a network; hence if one warehouse cannot fill an order, another warehouse will.
1-3b Licensing Licensing is an arrangement whereby one firm provides its technology (copyrights, patents, trademarks, or trade names) in exchange for fees or other considerations. Many producers of software allow foreign companies to use their software for a fee. In this way, they can generate revenue from foreign countries without establishing any pro- duction plants in foreign countries, or transporting goods to foreign countries.
Outlook of international
trade conditions for each
of several industries.
10 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
1-3c Franchising Under a franchising arrangement, one firm provides a specialized sales or service strat- egy, support assistance, and possibly an initial investment in the franchise in exchange for periodic fees, allowing local residents to own and manage the units. For example, McDonald’s, Pizza Hut, Subway, and Dairy Queen have franchises that are owned and managed by local residents in many foreign countries. As an example, McDonald’s typi- cally purchases the land and establishes the building. It then leases the building to a fran- chisee and allows the franchisee to operate the business in the building for a specified number of years (such as 20 years), but the franchisee must follow standards set by McDonald’s when operating the business. Because franchising by an MNC often requires a direct investment in foreign operations, this is referred to as a direct foreign investment (DFI).
1-3d Joint Ventures A joint venture is a venture that is jointly owned and operated by two or more firms. Many firms enter foreign markets by engaging in a joint venture with firms that already reside in those markets. Most joint ventures allow two firms to apply their respective comparative advantages in a given project. Joint ventures often require some degree of DFI, while the other parties involved in the joint ventures also participate in the investment.
For instance, General Mills, Inc., joined in a venture with Nestlé SA so that the cereals produced by General Mills could be sold through the overseas sales distribution network established by Nestlé. Xerox Corp. and Fuji Co. (of Japan) engaged in a joint venture that allowed Xerox to penetrate the Japanese market while allowing Fuji to enter the photocopying business. Kellogg Co. and Wilmar International Ltd. have established a joint venture to manufacture and distribute cereals and snack products in China. Wilmar already has a wholly owned subsidiary in China, and it is participating in the venture. Joint ventures between automobile manufacturers are numerous because each manufac- turer can offer its own technological advantages. General Motors has ongoing joint ven- tures with automobile manufacturers in several different countries, including the former Soviet states.
1-3e Acquisitions of Existing Operations Firms frequently acquire other firms in foreign countries as a means of penetrating for- eign markets. Such acquisitions give firms full control over their foreign businesses and enable the MNC to quickly obtain a large portion of foreign market share. Acquisitions represent direct foreign investment because MNCs directly invest in a foreign country by purchasing the operations of target companies.
EXAMPLE Google, Inc., has made major international acquisitions to expand its business and improve its technology. It has acquired businesses in Australia (search engines), Brazil (search engines), Canada (mobile browser), China (search engines), Finland (micro-blogging), Germany (mobile software), Russia (online advertising), South Korea (weblog software), Spain (photo sharing), and Sweden (videoconferencing). l
However, the acquisition of an existing corporation could lead to large losses because of the large investment required. In addition, if the foreign operations perform poorly then it may be difficult to sell the operations at a reasonable price.
Some firms engage in partial international acquisitions in order to obtain a toehold or stake in foreign operations. This approach requires a smaller investment than that of a
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 11
full international acquisition and so exposes the firm to less risk. On the other hand, the firm will not have complete control over foreign operations that are only partially acquired.
1-3f Establishment of New Foreign Subsidiaries Firms can also penetrate foreign markets by establishing new operations in foreign coun- tries to produce and sell their products. Like a foreign acquisition, this method requires a large direct foreign investment. Establishing new subsidiaries may be preferred to foreign acquisitions because the operations can be tailored exactly to the firm’s needs. In addi- tion, a smaller investment may be required than would be needed to purchase existing operations. However, the firm will not reap any rewards from the investment until the subsidiary is built and a customer base established.
1-3g Summary of Methods The methods of increasing international business extend from the relatively simple approach of international trade to the more complex approach of acquiring foreign firms or establishing new subsidiaries. International trade and licensing are usually not viewed as examples of DFI because they do not involve direct investment in foreign operations. Franchising and joint ventures tend to require some investment in foreign operations but only to a limited degree. Foreign acquisitions and the establishment of new foreign subsidiaries require substantial investment in foreign operations and account for the largest portion of DFI.
Many MNCs use a combination of methods to increase international business. For example, IBM and PepsiCo engage in substantial direct foreign investment yet also derive some of their foreign revenue from various licensing agreements, which require less DFI to generate revenue.
EXAMPLE The evolution of Nike began in 1962 when Phil Knight, a student at Stanford’s business school, wrote a paper on how a U.S. firm could use Japanese technology to break the German dominance of the athletic shoe industry in the United States. After graduation, Knight visited the Unitsuka Tiger shoe company in Japan. He made a licensing agreement with that company to produce a shoe that he sold in the United States under the name Blue Ribbon Sports (BRS). In 1972, Knight exported his shoes to Canada. In 1974, he expanded his operations into Australia. In 1977, the firm licensed factories in Taiwan and Korea to pro- duce athletic shoes and then sold the shoes in Asian countries. In 1978, BRS became Nike, Inc., and began to export shoes to Europe and South America. As a result of its exporting and its direct foreign invest- ment, Nike’s international sales reached $1 billion by 1992 and now exceed $8 billion per year. l
The effects of international business on an MNC’s cash flows are illustrated in Exhibit 1.3. In general, the cash outflows associated with international business by the U.S. parent are used to pay for imports, to comply with its international arrangements, and/or to support the creation or expansion of foreign subsidiaries. At the same time, an MNC receives cash flows in the form of payment for its exports, fees for the services it provides within inter- national arrangements, and remitted funds from the foreign subsidiaries. The first diagram in this exhibit illustrates the case of an MNC that engages in international trade; its inter- national cash flows therefore result either from paying for imported supplies or from receiving payment in exchange for products that it exports.
The second diagram illustrates an MNC that engages in some international arrange- ments (which could include international licensing, franchising, or joint ventures). Any such arrangement may require cash outflows of the MNC in foreign countries to cover, for example, the expenses associated with transferring technology or funding partial
12 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
investment in a franchise or joint venture. These arrangements generate cash flows for the MNC in the form of fees for services (e.g., technology, support assistance) that it provides.
The third diagram in Exhibit 1.3 illustrates the case of an MNC that engages in direct foreign investment. This type of MNC has one or more foreign subsidiaries. There can be cash outflows from the U.S. parent to its foreign subsidiaries in the form of invested funds to help finance the operations of the foreign subsidiaries. There are also cash flows from the foreign subsidiaries to the U.S. parent in the form of remitted earnings and fees for services provided by the parent; all of these flows can be classified as remitted funds from the foreign subsidiaries.
1-4 Valuation Model for an MNC The value of an MNC is relevant to its shareholders and its debt holders. When man- agers make decisions that maximize the firm’s value, they also maximize shareholder wealth (assuming that the decisions are not intended to maximize the wealth of debt holders at the expense of shareholders). Given that international financial management should be conducted with the goal of increasing the MNC’s value, it is useful to review some basics of valuation. There are numerous methods of valuing an MNC, some of which lead to the same valuation. The method described in this section reflects the key factors affecting an MNC’s value in a general sense.
Exhibit 1.3 Cash Flow Diagrams for MNCs
Foreign Firms or Government
International Trade by the MNC
Licensing, Franchising, Joint Ventures by the MNC
Investment in Foreign Subsidiaries by the MNC
Cash Inflows from Exporting
Cash Outflows to Pay for Importing
Cash Inflows from Services Provided
Cash Outflows for Services Received
Cash Inflows from Remitted Earnings
Cash Outflows to Finance the Operations
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 13
1-4a Domestic Model Before modeling an MNC’s value, consider the valuation of a purely domestic firm in the United States that does not engage in any foreign transactions. The value (V) of the purely domestic firm is commonly specified as the present value of its expected dollar cash flows:
V ¼ Xn t¼1
EðCF$,t Þ ð1þ kÞt
Here E(CF$,t) denotes expected cash flows to be received at the end of period t; n is the number of future periods in which cash flows are received; and k represents not only the weighted average cost of capital but also the required rate of return by investors and creditors who provide funds to the MNC.
Dollar Cash Flows The dollar cash flows in period t represent funds received by the firm minus funds needed to pay expenses or taxes or to reinvest in the firm (such as an investment to replace old computers or machinery). The expected cash flows are esti- mated from knowledge about various existing projects as well as other projects that will be implemented in the future. A firm’s decisions about how it should invest funds to expand its business can affect its expected future cash flows and therefore can affect the firm’s value. Holding other factors constant, an increase in expected cash flows over time should increase the value of a firm.
Cost of Capital The required rate of return (k) in the denominator of the valuation equation represents the cost of capital (including both the cost of debt and the cost of equity) to the firm and is, in essence, a weighted average of the cost of capital based on all of the firm’s projects. In making decisions that affect its cost of debt or equity for one or more projects, the firm also affects the weighted average of its cost of capital and thus the required rate of return. If the firm’s credit rating is suddenly lowered, for example, then its cost of capital will probably increase and so will its required rate of return. Hold- ing other factors constant, an increase in the firm’s required rate of return will reduce the value of the firm because expected cash flows must be discounted at a higher interest rate. Conversely, a decrease in the firm’s required rate of return will increase the value of the firm because expected cash flows are discounted at a lower required rate of return.
1-4b Multinational Model An MNC’s value can be specified in the same manner as a purely domestic firm’s value. However, consider that the expected cash flows generated by a U.S.-based MNC’s parent in period t may be coming from various countries and may be denominated in different foreign currencies.
The foreign currency cash flows will be converted into dollars. Thus the expected dol- lar cash flows to be received at the end of period t are equal to the sum of the products of cash flows denominated in each currency j multiplied by the expected exchange rate at which currency j could be converted into dollar cash flows by the MNC at the end of period t:
EðCF$,t Þ ¼ Xm j¼1 ½EðCFj ,t Þ � E ðSj,t Þ�
Here CFj,t represents the amount of cash flow denominated in a particular foreign currency j at the end of period t, and Sj,t denotes the exchange rate at which the foreign
14 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
currency (measured in dollars per unit of the foreign currency) can be converted to dol- lars at the end of period t.
Valuation of an MNC That Uses Two Currencies An MNC that does busi- ness in two currencies could measure its expected dollar cash flows in any period by multiplying the expected cash flow in each currency by the expected exchange rate at which that currency could be converted to dollars and then summing those two products.
It may help to think of an MNC as a portfolio of currency cash flows, one for each currency in which it conducts business. The expected dollar cash flows derived from each of those currencies can be combined to determine the total expected dollar cash flows in the given period. It is easier to derive an expected dollar cash flow value for each currency before combining the cash flows among currencies within a given period, because each currency’s cash flow amount must be converted to a common unit (the dollar) before combining the amounts.
EXAMPLE Carolina Co. has expected cash flows of $100,000 from local business and 1 million Mexican pesos from business in Mexico at the end of period t. Assuming that the peso’s value is expected to be $.09 when converted into dollars, the expected dollar cash flows are:
E ðCF$,t Þ¼ Xm j¼1 ½E ðCFj ,t Þ � E ðSj,t Þ�
¼ $ CF from U:S: operations þ $ CF from operations in Mexico ¼ $ 100,000 þ ½1,000,000 pesos � ð$:09Þ� ¼ $ 100,000 þ $ 90,000 ¼ $190,000:
The cash flows of $100,000 from U.S. business were already denominated in U.S. dollars and therefore did not have to be converted. l
Valuation of an MNC That Uses Multiple Currencies The same process as just described can be employed to value an MNC that uses many foreign currencies. The general formula for estimating the dollar cash flows to be received by an MNC from multiple currencies in one period can be written as follows:
E ðCF$,t Þ ¼ Xm j¼1 ½EðCFj ,t Þ � EðSj,t Þ�
EXAMPLE Assume that Yale Co. will receive cash in 15 different countries at the end of the next period. To estimate the value of Yale Co., the first step is to estimate the amount of cash flows that it will receive at the end of the period in each currency (such as 2 million euros, 8 million Mexican pesos, etc.). Second, obtain a forecast of the currency’s exchange rate for cash flows that will arrive at the end of the period for each of the 15 currencies (such as euro forecast = $1.40, peso forecast = $.12, etc.). The existing exchange rate can be used as a forecast for the future exchange rate, but there are many alternative methods (as explained in Chapter 9). Third, multiply the amount of each foreign currency to be received by the fore- casted exchange rate of that currency in order to estimate the dollar cash flows to be received due to each currency. Fourth, add the estimated dollar cash flows for all 15 currencies in order to determine the total expected dollar cash flows in the period. The previous equation captures the four steps just described. When applying that equation to this example, m = 15 because there are 15 different currencies. l
Valuation of an MNC’s Cash Flows over Multiple Periods The entire process described in the example for a single period is not adequate for valuation because most MNCs have multiperiod cash flows. However, the process can be easily
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 15
adapted to estimate the total dollar cash flows for all future periods. First, apply the same process described for a single period to all future periods in which the MNC will receive cash flows; this will generate an estimate of total dollar cash flows to be received in every period in the future. Second, discount the estimated total dollar cash flow for each period at the weighted cost of capital (k) and then sum these discounted cash flows to estimate the value of this MNC.
The process for valuing an MNC receiving multiple currencies over multiple periods can be expressed formally as:
V ¼ Xn t¼1
Xm j¼1 ½E ðCFj ,t Þ� EðSj,t Þ�
Here CFj,t is the cash flow denominated in a particular currency (which may be dol- lars) and Sj,t denotes represents the exchange rate at which the MNC can convert the foreign to the domestic currency at the end of period t. Whereas the previous equation is applied to single-period cash flows, this equation considers cash flows over multiple periods and then discounts those flows to obtain a present value.
Because the management of an MNC should be focused on maximizing its value, the equation for valuing an MNC is extremely important. According to this equation, the value (V) will increase in response to managerial decisions that increase the amount of its cash flows in a particular currency (CFj) or to conditions that increase the exchange rate at which that currency is converted into dollars (Sj).
To avoid double counting, cash flows of the MNC’s subsidiaries are considered in the valuation model only when they reflect transactions with the U.S. parent. Therefore, any expected cash flows received by foreign subsidiaries should not be counted in the valua- tion equation unless they are expected to be remitted to the parent.
The denominator of the valuation model for the MNC remains unchanged from the original valuation model for the purely domestic firm. However, note that the weighted average cost of capital for the MNC is based on funding some projects involving business in different countries. Hence any decision by the MNC’s parent that affects the cost of its capital supporting projects in a specific country will also affect its weighted average cost of capital (and required rate of return) and thereby its value.
EXAMPLE Austin Co. is a U.S.-based MNC that sells video games to U.S. consumers; it also has European subsidiaries that produce and sell the games in Europe. The firm’s European earnings are denominated in euros (the currency of most European countries), and these earnings are typically remitted to the U.S. parent. Last year, Austin received $40 million in cash flows from its U.S. operations and 20 million euros from its Euro- pean operations. The euro was valued at $1.30 when remitted to the U.S parent, so Austin’s cash flows last year are calculated as follows:
Austin’s total $ cash flows last year ¼ $ cash flows from U:S: operationsþ $ cash flows from foreign operations
¼ $ cash flows from U:S: operationsþ ½ðeuro cash flowsÞ � ðeuro exchange rateÞ� ¼ $ 40,000,000þ ½ð20,000,000 eurosÞ � ð$1:30Þ� ¼ $ 40,000,000þ $ 26,000,000 ¼ $ 66,000,000
Assume that Austin Co. plans to continue its business in the United States and Europe for the next three years. As a basic valuation model, the firm could use last year’s cash flows to estimate each future year’s cash flows; then its expected cash flows would be $66 million for each of the next three years. Its valuation could be estimated by discounting these cash flows at its cost of capital. l
16 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
1-4c Uncertainty Surrounding an MNC’s Cash Flows The MNC’s future cash flows (and therefore its valuation) are subject to uncertainty because of its exposure not only to domestic economic conditions but also to interna- tional economic conditions, political conditions, and exchange rate risk. These factors are explained next, and Exhibit 1.4 complements the discussion.
Exposure to International Economic Conditions To the extent that a for- eign country’s economic conditions affect an MNC’s cash flows, they affect the MNC’s valuation. The cash inflows that an MNC receives from sales in a foreign country during a given period depends on the demand by that country’s consumers for the MNC’s pro- ducts, which in turn is affected by that country’s national income in that period. If eco- nomic conditions improve in that country, consumers there may enjoy an increase in their income and the employment rate may rise. In that case, those consumers will have more money to spend and their demand for the MNC’s products will increase. This illustrates how the MNC’s cash flows increasing because of its exposure to interna- tional economic conditions.
However, an MNC can also be adversely affected by its exposure to international eco- nomic conditions. If conditions weaken in the foreign country where the MNC does business, that country’s consumers suffer a decrease in their income and the employment rate may decline. Then those consumers have less money to spend, and their demand for the MNC’s products will decrease. In this case, the MNC’s cash flows are reduced because of its exposure to international economic conditions.
When Facebook went public in 2012, the registration statement acknowledged its exposure to international economic conditions: “We plan to continue expanding our operations abroad where we have limited operating experience and may be subject to increasing business and economic risks that could affect our financial results.”
Exhibit 1.4 How an MNC’s Valuation Is Exposed to Uncertainty (Risk)
V 5 ^ n
^ [E (CFj,t ) 3 E (Sj,t )] m
(1 1 k )t
Uncertain foreign currency cash flows due to uncertain foreign economic
and political conditions Uncertainty surrounding future exchange rates
Uncertainty Surrounding an MNC’s Valuation:
Exposure to Foreign Economies: If [CFj,t , E (CFj,t )] V
Exposure to Political Risk: If [CFj,t , E (CFj,t )] V
Exposure to Exchange Rate Risk: If [Sj,t , E (Sj,t )] V
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 17
International economic conditions can also affect the MNC’s cash flows indirectly by affecting the MNC’s home economy. Consider that when a country’s economy strength- ens and hence its consumers buy more products from firms in other countries, the firms in those other countries experience stronger sales and cash flows. Therefore, the owners and employees of these firms have more income. When they spend a portion of that higher income locally, they stimulate their local economy.
Conversely, if the foreign country’s economy weakens and hence its consumers buy fewer products from firms in other countries, then the firms in those countries experi- ence weaker sales and cash flows. The owners and employees of these firms therefore have less income, and if they reduce spending locally their local economy weakens.
There is much international trade between the United States and Europe. European countries under weak economic conditions tend to reduce their demand for U.S.-made products. The result may be weaker economic conditions in the United States, which may lead to lower national income and higher unemployment there. Then U.S. consu- mers would have less money to spend and so would reduce their demand for the pro- ducts offered by U.S.-based MNCs. In recent years, the financial press has featured extensive coverage on how bad economic conditions in European countries adversely affect the U.S economy. Similarly, research has documented that U.S. stock market per- formance is highly sensitive to economic conditions in Europe.
The effects on international economic conditions are illustrated in Exhibit 1.5, which shows how weak European conditions can affect the valuations of U.S.-based MNCs. The top string of effects (from left to right) in this exhibit indicate how weak European eco- nomic conditions cause a decline in the demand for the products made by U.S. firms. The result is weaker cash flows of the U.S.-based MNCs that sell products either as exports or through their European subsidiaries to European customers. However, there
Exhibit 1.5 Potential Effects of International Economic Conditions
Reduced Sales and
Cash Flows of U.S. Firms
of U.S. Firms
Weak U.S. Demand for Products
at U.S. Firms
Weak European Economy
Demand for Products at European
Subsidiaries of U.S. Firms
Reduced European Demand for U.S. Firms’
18 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
is an additional adverse effect of the weak European economy on U.S.-based MNCs and even on domestic U.S. firms. As the U.S.-based MNCs experience weaker cash flows, they may reduce their workforce or the number of hours that employees work. Further- more, the profits earned by their owners are reduced. Thus not only the employees but also the owners of U.S.-based MNCs have less money to spend, so all U.S. firms will likewise experience reduced sales and cash flows. This means that a weak European economy, in addition to reducing European demand for the products of U.S.-based MNCs, also weakens the U.S. economy and thus reduces U.S. demand for those products.
EXAMPLE Recall from the original example for Austin Co. that it has expected annual cash flows of $40 million from its U.S. operations. If Europe experiences a recession, however, then Austin expects reduced European demand for many U.S. products, and this will adversely affect the U.S. economy. Under these conditions, the U.S. demand for Austin’s computer games would decline, reducing its expected annual cash flows due to U.S. operations from $40 million to $38 million. A European recession would naturally result in reduced European demand for Austin’s video games, so the company reduces its expected euro cash flows due to European operations from 20 million euros to 16 million euros. l
Exposure to International Political Risk Political risk in any country can affect the level of an MNC’s sales. A foreign government may increase taxes or impose barriers on the MNC’s subsidiary. Alternatively, consumers in a foreign country may boycott the MNC if there is friction between the government of their country and the MNC’s home country. Political actions like these can reduce the cash flows of an MNC. The term “country risk” is commonly used to reflect an MNC’s exposure to a variety of country conditions, including political actions such as friction within the government, government policies (such as tax rules), and financial conditions within that country.
EXAMPLE In 2015, Russia banned many different food items that were imported from the United States. This action was in retaliation for some U.S. sanctions imposed on Russia. The ban by Russia reduces the sales and cash flows of some U.S.-based MNCs that previously exported to Russia. Those MNCs have nothing to do with the sanctions imposed on Russia, yet they are adversely affected by the political relations between the United States and Russia. l
Exposure to Exchange Rate Risk If the foreign currencies to be received by a U.S.-based MNC suddenly weaken against the dollar, then the MNC will receive a lower amount of dollar cash flows than expected. Therefore, the MNC’s cash flows will be reduced.
EXAMPLE Recall from the previous example that Austin Co. now anticipates a European recession and so has revised its expected annual cash flows to be 16 million euros from its European operations. The dollar cash flows that Austin will receive from these euro cash flows depend on the exchange rate at the time those euros are converted to dollars. If the exchange rate is expected to be $1.30, then Austin’s cash flows are predicted as follows.
Austin’s $ cash flows resulting from European operations¼ Austin’s cash flows in euros� euro exchange rate
¼ 16,000,000 euros� $1:30 ¼ $20,800,000
However, if Austin believes that the anticipated European recession will cause the euro’s value to weaken and be worth only $1.20 when the euros are converted into dollars, then its estimate of the dol- lar cash flows from European operations would be revised as follows.
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 19
Austin’s $ cash flows resulting from European operations¼ Austin’s cash flows in euros� euro exchange rate
¼ 16,000,000 euros� $1:20 ¼ $19,200,000
Thus Austin’s expected dollar cash flows are reduced as a result of reducing the expected value of the euro at the time of conversion into dollars.
This conceptual framework can be used to understand how MNCs such as Facebook and Google are affected by exchange rate movements. Google now receives more than half of its total revenue from out- side the United States as it provides advertising for non-U.S. companies targeted at non-U.S. users. Conse- quently, Google’s dollar cash flows are favorably affected when the currencies it receives appreciate against the dollar over time.
As Facebook attracts more users in Europe, it will attract more demand for advertising by European firms and therefore will receive more cash flows in euros. As it sells more ads to firms in other coun- tries, it will receive more cash flows in their respective currencies. Its international revenue as a percent- age of total revenue has consistently increased over the last five years and is now approaching 50 percent. As Facebook’s international business continues to grow, its estimated dollar cash flows in any period will necessarily become more sensitive to the exchange rates of these currencies relative to the dollar. If the revenue it receives is denominated in currencies that appreciate against the dollar over time, then its dollar cash flows and valuation will increase. Conversely, if the revenue it receives is denominated in currencies that depreciate against the dollar over time, its dollar cash flows and valua- tion will decrease. l
Many MNCs have cash outflows in one or more foreign currencies because they import supplies or materials from companies in other countries. When an MNC antici- pates future cash outflows in foreign currencies, it is exposed to exchange rate move- ments but in the opposite direction. If those foreign currencies strengthen, then the MNC will require more dollars to obtain the foreign currencies needed to make its pay- ments. This dynamic reduces the MNC’s dollar cash flows (on a net basis) overall and so diminishes its value.
1-4d Summary of International Effects Exhibit 1.4 summarized how an MNC’s expected cash flows and valuation are subject to uncertainty through exposure to international conditions. Up to this point, the possible impact of each international condition on an MNC’s cash flows has been treated in iso- lation. In reality, however, an MNC must consider the impact of all international condi- tions so that it can determine the resulting effect on its cash flows.
EXAMPLE Recall the original example of Austin Co., a U.S.-based MNC that expects to generate $40 million annu- ally in cash flows from its operations in the United States and 20 million euros annually in cash flows from its operations in Europe over the next three years. Assume that Austin anticipates a possible Euro- pean recession during this period and therefore revises its expectations as follows to reflect that possibility.
1. The company expects that a European recession will adversely affect the U.S. economy and result in
reduced U.S. demand for its video games; it therefore reduces its estimated dollar cash flows from
U.S. operations to $38 million annually over the next three years.
2. Austin expects that a European recession will result in a reduced European demand for its video
games, so it lowers its estimated euro cash flows from European operations to 16 million euros
annually over the next three years.
3. The firm expects that a European recession will weaken the euro and hence lowers its estimate of
the euro’s value to $1.20 over the next three years. Altogether, then, Austin’s expected annual cash
flows for each of the next three years are now calculated as follows:
20 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
Austin’s total expected $ cash flows each year¼ $ cash flows from U:S: operations þ $ cash flows from foreign operations
¼ $ cash flows from U:S: operations þ ½ðeuro cash flowsÞ�ðeuro exchange rateÞ� ¼ $ 38,000,000þ ½ð16,000,000 eurosÞ � ð$1:20Þ� ¼ $ 38,000,000þ $ 19,200,000 ¼ $ 57,200,000
Comparing these estimates to those in the original example reveals how each of the three revisions in expectations affects expected cash flows. The expected dollar cash flows from U.S. operations are reduced. The expected euro cash flows are reduced and the expected exchange rate is lower; both of these factors reduce the estimate of dollar cash flows from foreign operations. The expected annual dollar cash flows for Austin in the original example were $66 million, whereas the revised expectation is only $57.2 million. This example clearly illustrates just how adversely an MNC’s cash flows can be affected by exposure to international conditions. l
1-4e How Uncertainty Affects the MNC’s Cost of Capital If there is suddenly more uncertainty about an MNC’s future cash flows, then investors will expect to receive a higher rate of return. Thus more uncertainty increases the return on investment required by investors (and thus the MNC’s cost of obtaining capital), which lowers the firm’s valuation.
EXAMPLE Because Austin Co. does substantial business in Europe, its value is strongly influenced by how much reve- nue it expects to earn from that business. As a result of some events that occurred in Europe today, eco- nomic conditions in Europe are subject to considerable uncertainty. Although Austin does not change its forecasts of expected cash flows, it is concerned that the actual flows could deviate substantially from those forecasts. The increased uncertainty surrounding these cash flows has increased the firm’s cost of cap- ital, because its investors now require a higher rate of return. In other words, the numerator (estimated cash flows) of the valuation equation has not changed but the denominator has increased owing to the increased uncertainty surrounding the cash flows. Thus the valuation of Austin Co. has decreased. l
If the uncertainty surrounding conditions that influence cash flows declines, the uncertainty surrounding cash flows of MNCs also declines and results in a lower required rate of return and cost of capital for MNCs. Consequently, the valuations of MNCs increase.
1-5 Organization of the Text The chapters in this textbook are organized as shown in Exhibit 1.6. Chapters 2 through 8 discuss international markets and conditions from a macroeconomic perspective, focusing on external forces that can affect the value of an MNC. Although financial managers can- not control such forces, they can control the extent of their firm’s exposure to them. These chapters focus on macroeconomic concepts that serve as a foundation for international financial management.
Chapters 9 through 21 take a microeconomic perspective and focus on how the finan- cial management of an MNC can affect its value. Financial decisions by MNCs are com- monly classified as either investing decisions or financing decisions. In general, investing decisions by an MNC tend to affect the numerator of the valuation model because such decisions affect expected cash flows. In addition, investing decisions by the MNC that alter the firm’s weighted average cost of capital may also affect the denominator of the valuation model. Long-term financing decisions by an MNC tend to affect the denomi- nator of the valuation model because they affect its cost of capital.
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 21
Exhibit 1.6 Organization of Chapters
Background on International
Financial Markets (Chapters 2–5)
Long-Term Investment and
Financing Decisions (Chapters 13–18)
Short-Term Investment and
Financing Decisions (Chapters 19–21)
Risk and Return of MNC
Exchange Rate Behavior
Exchange Rate Risk Management (Chapters 9–12)
Value and Stock Price of MNC
SUMMARY ■ The main goal of an MNC is to maximize share-
holder wealth. When managers are tempted to serve their own interests instead of those of share- holders, an agency problem exists. Multinational corporations tend to experience greater agency problems than do domestic firms because man- agers of foreign subsidiaries might be tempted to make decisions that serve their subsidiaries instead of the overall MNC. Proper incentives and com- munication from the parent may help to ensure that subsidiary managers focus on serving the overall MNC.
■ International business is encouraged by three key theories. The theory of comparative advantage suggests that each country should use its compar- ative advantage to specialize in its production and rely on other countries to meet other needs. The imperfect markets theory suggests that imperfect markets render the factors of production immo- bile, which encourages countries to specialize
based on the resources they have. The product cycle theory suggests that, after firms are estab- lished in their home countries, they commonly expand their product specialization in foreign countries.
■ The most common methods by which firms con- duct international business are international trade, licensing, franchising, joint ventures, acquisitions of foreign firms, and formation of foreign subsidiaries. Methods such as licensing and fran- chising involve little capital investment but distrib- ute some of the profits to other parties. The acquisition of foreign firms or formation of foreign subsidiaries requires substantial capital invest- ments but offers the potential for large returns.
■ The valuation model of an MNC shows that the MNC’s value is favorably affected when its expected foreign cash inflows increase, the curren- cies denominating those cash inflows increase, or the MNC’s required rate of return decreases.
22 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
Conversely, the MNC’s value is adversely affected when its expected foreign cash inflows decrease, the values of currencies denominating those cash
flows decrease (assuming that they have net cash inflows in foreign currencies), or the MNC’s required rate of return increases.
POINT COUNTER-POINT Should an MNC Reduce Its Ethical Standards to Compete Internationally?
Point Yes. When a U.S.-based MNC competes in some countries, it may encounter some business norms there that are not allowed in the United States. For example, when competing for a government contract, firms might provide payoffs to the govern- ment officials who will make the decision. Yet in the United States, a firm will sometimes take a client on an expensive golf outing or provide skybox tickets to events. This is no different than a payoff. If the pay- offs are bigger in some foreign countries, the MNC can compete only by matching the payoffs provided by its competitors.
Counter-Point No. A U.S.-based MNC should maintain a standard code of ethics that applies to any country, even if it is at a disadvantage in a foreign country that allows activities that might be viewed as unethical. In this way, the MNC establishes more credibility worldwide.
Who Is Correct? Use the Internet to learn more about this issue. Which argument do you support? Offer your own opinion on this issue.
SELF-TEST Answers are provided in Appendix A at the back of the text.
1. What are typical reasons why MNCs expand internationally?
2. Explain why unfavorable economic or political conditions affect the MNC’s cash flows, required rate of return, and valuation.
3. Identify the more obvious risks faced by MNCs that expand internationally.
QUESTIONS AND APPLICATIONS 1. Agency Problems of MNCs a. Explain the agency problem of MNCs. b. Why might agency costs be larger for an MNC than for a purely domestic firm?
2. Comparative Advantage a. Explain how the theory of comparative advantage relates to the need for international business. b. Explain how the product cycle theory relates to the growth of an MNC.
3. Imperfect Markets a. Explain how the existence of imperfect markets has led to the establishment of subsidiaries in foreign markets. b. If perfect markets existed, would wages, prices, and interest rates among countries be more similar or less similar than under conditions of imperfect markets? Why?
4. International Opportunities a. Do you think the acquisition of a foreign firm or licensing will result in greater growth for an MNC? Which alternative is likely to have more risk? b. Describe a scenario in which the size of a corporation is not affected by access to international opportunities. c. Explain why MNCs such as Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, Inc., still have numerous opportunities for interna- tional expansion.
5. International Opportunities Due to the Internet
a. What factors cause some firms to become more internationalized than others? b. Offer your opinion on why the Internet may result in more international business.
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 23
6. Impact of Exchange Rate Movements Plak Co. of Chicago has several European subsidiaries that remit earnings to it each year. Explain how appreciation of the euro (the currency used in many European coun- tries) would affect Plak’s valuation.
7. Benefits and Risks of International Business As an overall review of this chapter, identify possible reasons for growth in international business. Then list the various disadvantages that may discourage inter- national business.
8. Valuation of an MNC Hudson Co., a U.S. firm, has a subsidiary in Mexico, where political risk has recently increased. Hudson’s best guess of its future peso cash flows to be received has not changed. However, its valuation has declined as a result of the increase in political risk. Explain.
9. Centralization and Agency Costs Would the agency problem be more pronounced for Berkely Corp., whose parent company makes most major decisions for its foreign subsidiaries, or Oakland Corp., which uses a decentralized approach?
10. Global Competition Explain why more stan- dardized product specifications across countries can increase global competition.
11. Exposure to Exchange Rates McCanna Corp., a U.S. firm, has a French subsidiary that produces wine and exports to various European countries. All of the countries where it sells its wine use the euro as their currency, which is the same currency used in France. Is McCanna Corp. exposed to exchange rate risk?
12. Macro versus Micro Topics Review the Table of Contents and indicate whether each of the chapters from Chapter 2 through Chapter 21 has a macro or micro perspective.
13. Methods Used to Conduct International Business Duve, Inc., desires to penetrate a foreign market with either a licensing agreement with a foreign firm or by acquiring a foreign firm. Explain the differences in potential risk and return between a licensing agreement with a foreign firm and the acquisition of a foreign firm.
14. International Business Methods Snyder Golf Co., a U.S. firm that sells high-quality golf clubs in the United States, wants to expand internationally by selling the same golf clubs in Brazil.
a. Describe the trade-offs that are involved for each method (such as exporting, direct foreign investment, etc.) that Snyder could use to achieve its goal.
b. Which method would you recommend for this firm? Justify your recommendation.
15. Impact of Political Risk Explain why political risk may discourage international business.
16. Impact of 9/11 Following the terrorist attack on the United States on September 11, 2001, the valuations of many MNCs declined by more than 10 percent. Explain why the expected cash flows of MNCs were reduced, even if they were not directly hit by the terrorist attacks.
17. International Joint Venture Anheuser-Busch (which is now part of AB InBev due to a merger), the producer of Budweiser and other beers, has engaged in a joint venture with Kirin Brewery, the largest brewery in Japan. The joint venture enabled Anheuser-Busch to have its beer distributed through Kirin’s distribution channels in Japan. In addition, it could utilize Kirin’s facilities to produce beer that would be sold locally. In return, Anheuser-Busch provided information about the American beer market to Kirin.
a. Explain how the joint venture enabled Anheuser- Busch to achieve its objective of maximizing share- holder wealth. b. Explain how the joint venture limited the risk of the international business. c. Many international joint ventures are intended to circumvent barriers that normally prevent foreign competition. What barrier in Japan did Anheuser- Busch circumvent as a result of the joint venture? What barrier in the United States did Kirin circumvent as a result of the joint venture? d. Explain how Anheuser-Busch could have lost some of its market share in countries outside Japan as a result of this particular joint venture.
18. Impact of Eastern European Growth The managers of Loyola Corp. recently had a meeting to discuss new opportunities in Europe as a result of the recent integration among Eastern European countries. They decided not to penetrate new markets because of their present focus on expanding market share in the United States. Loyola’s financial managers have devel- oped forecasts for earnings based on the 12 percent market share (defined here as its percentage of total European sales) that Loyola currently has in Eastern Europe. Is 12 percent an appropriate estimate for next year’s Eastern European market share? If not, does it likely overestimate or underestimate the actual Eastern European market share next year?
24 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
19. Valuation of an MNC Birm Co., based in Ala- bama, is considering several international opportu- nities in Europe that could affect the value of its firm. The valuation of its firm is dependent on four fac- tors: (1) expected cash flows in dollars, (2) expected cash flows in euros that are ultimately converted into dollars, (3) the rate at which it can convert euros to dollars, and (4) Birm’s weighted average cost of capital. For each opportunity, identify the factors that would be affected.
a. Birm plans a licensing deal in which it will sell technology to a firm in Germany for $3 million; the payment is invoiced in dollars, and this project has the same risk level as its existing businesses. b. Birm plans to acquire a large firm in Portugal that is riskier than its existing businesses. c. Birm plans to discontinue its relationship with a U.S. supplier so that it can import a small amount of supplies (denominated in euros) at a lower cost from a Belgian supplier. d. Birm plans to export a small amount of materials to Ireland that are denominated in euros.
20. Assessing Motives for International Business Fort Worth, Inc., specializes in manufacturing some basic parts for sports utility vehicles (SUVs) that are produced and sold in the United States. Its main advantage in the United States is that its production is efficient and less costly than that of some other unionized manufacturers. It has a substantial market share in the United States. Its manufacturing process is labor intensive. It pays relatively low wages compared to U.S. competitors, but has guaranteed the local workers that their positions will not be eliminated for the next 30 years. It hired a consultant to determine whether it should set up a subsidiary in Mexico, where the parts would be produced. The consultant suggested that Fort Worth should expand for the following rea- sons. Offer your opinion on whether the consultant’s reasons are logical.
a. Theory of Competitive Advantage: There are not many SUVs sold in Mexico, so Fort Worth, Inc., would not have to face much competition there. b. Imperfect Markets Theory: Fort Worth cannot easily transfer workers to Mexico, but it can establish a subsidiary there in order to penetrate a new market. c. Product Cycle Theory: Fort Worth has been suc- cessful in the United States. It has limited growth opportunities because it already controls much of the U.S. market for the parts it produces. Thus the natural
next step is to conduct the same business in a foreign country. d. Exchange Rate Risk: The exchange rate of the peso has weakened recently, so this would allow Fort Worth to build a plant at a very low cost (by exchanging dollars for the cheap pesos to build the plant). e. Political Risk: The political conditions in Mexico have stabilized in the last few months, so Fort Worth should attempt to penetrate the Mexican market now.
21. Valuation of Walmart’s International Business In addition to its stores in the United States, Walmart Stores, Inc., has 107 retail units in Argen- tina, 359 in Brazil, 395 in Canada, 412 in China, 2,296 in Mexico, and 604 in the United Kingdom. Overall, it has 6,100 retail units in foreign countries. Consider that the value of Walmart is composed of two parts, a U.S. part (due to business in the United States) and a non-U.S. part (due to business in other countries). Explain how to determine the present value (in dol- lars) of the non-U.S. part assuming that you had access to all the details of Walmart businesses outside the United States.
22. Impact of International Business on Cash Flows and Risk Nantucket Travel Agency specializes in tours for American tourists. Until recently, all of its business was in the United States. It just established a subsidiary in Athens, Greece, which provides tour services in the Greek islands for American tourists. It rented a shop near the port of Athens. It also hired residents of Athens who could speak English and provide tours of the Greek islands. The subsidiary’s main costs are rent and salaries for its employees and the lease of a few large boats in Athens that it uses for tours. American tourists pay for the entire tour in dollars at Nantucket’s main U.S. office before they depart for Greece.
a. Explain why Nantucket may be able to effectively capitalize on international opportunities such as the Greek island tours. b. Nantucket is privately owned by owners who reside in the United States and work in the main office. Explain possible agency problems associated with the creation of a subsidiary in Athens, Greece. How can Nantucket attempt to reduce these agency costs? c. Greece’s cost of labor and rent are relatively low. Explain why this information is relevant to Nan- tucket’s decision to establish a tour business in Greece.
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 25
d. Explain how the cash flow situation of the Greek tour business exposes Nantucket to exchange rate risk. Is Nantucket favorably or unfavorably affected when the euro (Greece’s currency) appreciates against the dollar? Explain. e. Nantucket plans to finance its Greek tour business. Its subsidiary could obtain loans in euros from a bank in Greece to cover its rent, and its main office could pay off the loans over time. Alternatively, its main office could borrow dollars and would periodically convert dollars to euros to pay the expenses in Greece. Does either type of loan reduce the exposure of Nan- tucket to exchange rate risk? Explain. f. Explain how the Greek island tour business could expose Nantucket to political country risk.
23. Valuation of an MNC Yahoo! has expanded its business by establishing portals in numerous countries, including Argentina, Australia, China, Germany, Ireland, Japan, and the United Kingdom. It has cash outflows associated with the creation and administra- tion of each portal. It also generates cash inflows from selling advertising space on its website. Each portal results in cash flows in a different currency. Thus the valuation of Yahoo! is based on its expected future net cash flows in Argentine pesos after converting them into U.S. dollars, its expected net cash flows in Aus- tralian dollars after converting them into U.S. dollars, and so on. Explain how and why the valuation of Yahoo! would change if most investors suddenly expected that the dollar would weaken against most currencies over time.
24. Uncertainty Surrounding an MNC’s Valua- tion Carlisle Co. is a U.S. firm that is about to pur- chase a large company in Switzerland at a purchase price of $20 million. This company produces furniture and sells it locally (in Switzerland), and is expected to earn large profits every year. The company will become a subsidiary of Carlisle and will periodically remit its excess cash flows due to its profits to Carlisle Co. Assume that Carlisle Co. has no other interna- tional business. Carlisle has $10 million that it will use to pay for part of the Swiss company and will finance the rest of its purchase with borrowed dollars. Carlisle Co. can obtain supplies from either a U.S. supplier or a Swiss supplier (in which case the payment would be made in Swiss francs). Both suppliers are very repu- table and there would be no exposure to country risk when using either supplier. Is the valuation of the total cash flows of Carlisle Co. more uncertain if it
obtains its supplies from a U.S. firm or a Swiss firm? Explain briefly.
25. Impact of Exchange Rates on MNC Value Olmsted Co. has small computer chips assembled in Poland and transports the final assembled products to the parent, where they are sold by the parent in the United States. The assembled products are invoiced in dollars. Olmsted Co. uses Polish currency (the zloty) to produce these chips and assemble them in Poland. The Polish subsidiary pays the employees in the local cur- rency (zloty), and Olmsted Co. finances its subsidiary operations with loans from a Polish bank (in zloty). The parent of Olmsted will send sufficient monthly payments (in dollars) to the subsidiary in order to repay the loan and other expenses incurred by the subsidiary. If the Polish zloty depreciates against the dollar over time, will that have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral effect on the value of Olmsted Co.? Briefly explain.
26. Impact of Uncertainty on MNC Value Minneapolis Co. is a major exporter of products to Canada. Today, an event occurred that has increased the uncertainty surrounding the Canadian dollar’s future value over the long term. Explain how this event can affect the valuation of Minneapolis Co.
27. Exposure of MNCs to Exchange Rate Move- ments Arlington Co. expects to receive 10 million euros in each of the next 10 years. It will need to obtain 2 million Mexican pesos in each of the next 10 years. The euro exchange rate is presently valued at $1.38 and is expected to depreciate by 2 percent each year over time. The peso is valued at $.13 and is expected to depreciate by 2 percent each year over time. Review the valuation equation for an MNC. Do you think that the exchange rate movements will have a favorable or unfavorable effect on the MNC?
28. Impact of a Recession on an MNC’s Value If a U.S. recession occurred without any change in interest rates, identify the part of the MNC valuation equation that would most likely be affected.
29. Exposure of MNCs to Exchange Rate Move- ments Because of the low labor costs in Thailand, Melnick Co. (based in the United States) recently established a major research and development subsid- iary there that it owns. The subsidiary was created to improve new products that the parent of Melnick can sell in the United States (denominated in dollars) to U.S. customers. The subsidiary pays its local employees in baht (the Thai currency). The subsidiary has a small
26 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
amount of sales denominated in baht, but its expenses are much larger than its revenue. It has just obtained a large loan denominated in baht that will be used to expand its subsidiary. The business that the parent of Melnick Co. conducts in the United States is not exposed to exchange rate risk. If the Thai baht weakens over the next three years, will the value of Melnick Co. be favorably affected, unfavorably affected, or not affected? Briefly explain.
30. Shareholder Rights of Investors in MNCs MNCs tend to expand more when they can more easily access funds by issuing stock. In some coun- tries, shareholder rights are very limited, and the MNCs have limited ability to raise funds by issuing stock. Explain why access to funding is more severe for MNCs based in countries where shareholder rights are limited.
31. MNC Cash Flows and Exchange Rate Risk Tuscaloosa Co. is a U.S. firm that assembles phones in Argentina and transports the final assembled products to the parent, where they are sold by the parent in the United States. The assembled products are invoiced in dollars. The Argentine subsidiary obtains some material from China, and the Chinese exporter is willing to accept Argentine pesos as payment for these materials that it exports. The Argentine subsidiary pays its employees in the local currency (pesos), and finances its operations with loans from an Argentine bank (in pesos). Tuscaloosa Co. has no other inter- national business. If the Argentine peso depreciates against the dollar over time, will that have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral effect on Tuscaloosa Co.? Briefly explain.
32. MNC Cash Flows and Exchange Rate Risk Asheville Co. has a subsidiary in Mexico that develops software for its parent. It rents a large facility in Mexico and hires many people in Mexico to work in the facil- ity. Asheville Co. has no other international business. All operations are presently funded by Asheville’s par- ent. All the software is sold to U.S. firms by Asheville’s parent and invoiced in U.S. dollars.
a. If the Mexican peso appreciates against the dollar, does this have a favorable effect, unfavorable effect, or no effect on Asheville’s value? b. Asheville Co. plans to borrow funds to support its expansion in the United States. The Mexican interest rates are presently lower than U.S. interest rates, so Asheville obtains a loan denominated in Mexican pesos in order to support its expansion in the United States.
Will the borrowing of pesos increase, decrease, or have no effect on its exposure to exchange rate risk? Briefly explain.
33. Estimating an MNC’s Cash Flows Biloxi Co. is a U.S. firm that has a subsidiary in China. The sub- sidiary reinvests half of its net cash flows into opera- tions and remits half to the parent. Biloxi Co. has expected cash flows from domestic business equal to $10,000,000 and the Chinese subsidiary is expected to generate 100 million Chinese yuan at the end of the year. The expected value of yuan at the end of the year is $.13. What are the expected dollar cash flows of the parent of Biloxi Co. in one year?
34. Uncertainty Surrounding an MNC’s Cash Flows
a. Assume that Bangor Co. (a U.S. firm) knows that it will have cash inflows of $900,000 from domestic operations, cash inflows of 200,000 Swiss francs due to exports to Swiss operations, and cash outflows of 500,000 Swiss francs at the end of the year. While the future value of the Swiss franc is uncertain because it fluctuates, your best guess is that the Swiss franc’s value will be $1.10 at the end this year. What are the expected dollar cash flows of Bangor Co? b. Assume that Concord Co. (a U.S. firm) is in the same industry as Bangor Co. There is no political risk that could have any impact on the cash flows of either firm. Concord Co. knows that it will have cash inflows of $900,000 from domestic operations, cash inflows of 700,000 Swiss francs due to exports to Swiss operations, and cash outflows of 800,000 Swiss francs at the end of the year. Is the valuation of the total cash flows of Concord Co. more uncertain or less uncertain than the total cash flows of Bangor Co.? Explain briefly.
35. Valuation of an MNC Odessa Co., Midland Co., and Roswell Co. are U.S. firms in the same industry and have the same valuation as of yesterday, based on the present value of future cash flows of each company. Odessa Co. obtains a large amount of its supplies invoiced in euros from European countries, and all of its sales are invoiced in dollars. Midland has a large subsidiary in Europe that does all of its business in euros and remits profits to the U.S. parent every year. Roswell Co. has no international business. Assume that as of this morning an event occurred that you believe will cause a substantial depreciation of the euro against the dollar over time. Assume that this event will not
Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview 27
change the business operations of the firms mentioned in this question. Which firm will have the highest val- uation based on your expectations? Briefly explain.
36. Impact of Uncertainty on an MNC’s Valua- tion Assume that Alpine Co. is a U.S. firm that has direct foreign investment in Brazil as a result estab- lishing a subsidiary there. Political conditions have changed in Brazil, but the best guess by investors of the future cash flows per year for Alpine Co. has not changed. Yet there is more uncertainty surrounding the best guess of Alpine’s cash flows. In other words, the distribution of possible outcomes above and below the best guess has expanded. Would the change in uncertainty cause the prevailing value of Alpine Co. to increase, decrease, or remain unchanged? Briefly explain.
37. Exposure of MNC Cash Flows a. Rochester Co. is a U.S. firm that has a language institute in France. This institute attracts Americans who want to learn the French language. Rochester Co. charges tuition to the American students in dollars. It expects that its dollar revenue from charging tuition will be stable over each of the next several years. Its total expenses for this project are as follows: It rents a facility in Paris, and makes a large rent payment each month in euros. It also hires several French citizens as full-time instructors, and pays their salary in euros. It expects that its expenses denominated in euros will be stable over each of the next several years. If the euro appreciates against the dollar over time, should this have a favorable effect, unfavorable effect, or no effect on the value of Rochester Co.? Briefly explain. b. Rochester considers a new project in which it would also attract people from Spain, and the institute in France would teach them the French language. It would charge them tuition in euros. The expenses for this project would be about the same as the expenses of the
project described above for the American students. Assume that euros to be generated by this project would be stable over the next several years. Assume that this project is about the same size as the project for American students. For either project, the expected annual revenue is just slightly larger than the expected annual expenses. Is the valuation of net cash flows subject to a higher degree of exchange rate risk for this project or for the project for American students? Briefly explain.
Impact of International Environment of MNC Cash Flows Conduct an online search to review a recent annual report of the operations of any publicly traded U.S.-based MNC. Write a brief essay in which you describe how the MNC’s cash flows are exposed to the international environment. Is the MNC you selected most exposed to a particular currency? If so, how would depreciation of that currency against the dollar affect the value of the MNC? Is the MNC exposed to economic conditions in a particular foreign country? If so, describe how a change in the conditions of that country could adversely affect the MNC’s cash flows.
Discussion in the Boardroom This exercise can be found in Appendix E at the back of this textbook.
Running Your Own MNC This exercise can be found on the International Financial Management text companion website. Go to www.cengagebrain.com (students) or www.cengage .com/login (instructors) and search using ISBN 9781133947837.
BLADES, INC. CASE Decision to Expand Internationally Blades, Inc., is a U.S.-based company that has been incorporated in the United States for three years. Blades is a relatively small company, with total assets of only $200 million. The company produces a single type of product, roller blades. Due to the booming roller blade market in the United States at the time of the company’s establishment, Blades has been quite successful. For example, in its first year of operation,
it reported a net income of $3.5 million. Recently, how- ever, the demand for Blades’ “Speedos,” the company’s primary product in the United States, has been slowly tapering off, and Blades has not been performing well. Last year, it reported a return on assets of only 7 per- cent. In response to the company’s annual report for its most recent year of operations, Blades’ shareholders have been pressuring the company to improve its
28 Part 1: The International Financial Environment
performance; its stock price has fallen from a high of $20 per share three years ago to $12 last year. Blades produces high-quality roller blades and employs a unique production process, but the prices it charges are among the top 5 percent in the industry.
In light of these circumstances, Ben Holt, the com- pany’s chief financial officer (CFO), is contemplating his alternatives for Blades’ future. There are no other cost- cutting measures that Blades can implement in the United States without affecting the quality of its product. Also, production of alternative products would require major modifications to the existing plant setup. Further- more, and because of these limitations, expansion within the United States at this time seems pointless.
Holt is considering the following: If Blades cannot penetrate the U.S. market further or reduce costs here, why not import some parts from overseas and/or expand the company’s sales to foreign countries? Simi- lar strategies have proved successful for numerous companies that expanded into Asia in recent years to increase their profit margins. The CFO’s initial focus is on Thailand. Thailand has recently experienced weak economic conditions, and Blades could purchase com- ponents there at a low cost. Holt is aware that many of Blades’ competitors have begun importing production components from Thailand.
Not only would Blades be able to reduce costs by importing rubber and/or plastic from Thailand due to the low costs of these inputs, but it might also be able to augment weak U.S. sales by exporting to Thailand, an economy still in its infancy and just beginning to appreciate leisure products such as roller blades. Although several of Blades’ competitors import compo- nents from Thailand, few are exporting to the country. Long-term decisions would also eventually have to be
made; perhaps Blades, Inc., could establish a subsidiary in Thailand and gradually shift its focus away from the United States if its U.S. sales do not rebound. Establish- ing a subsidiary in Thailand would also make sense for Blades due to its superior production process. Holt is reasonably sure that Thai firms could not duplicate the high-quality production process employed by Blades. Furthermore, if the company’s initial approach of exporting works well, establishing a subsidiary in Thai- land would preserve Blades’ sales before Thai competi- tors are able to penetrate the Thai market.
As a financial analyst for Blades, Inc., you are assigned to analyze international opportunities and risk resulting from international business. Your initial assessment should focus on the barriers and opportu- nities that international trade may offer. Holt has never been involved in international business in any form and is unfamiliar with any constraints that may inhibit his plan to export to and import from a foreign coun- try. Holt has presented you with a list of initial ques- tions you should answer.
1. What are the advantages Blades could gain from importing from and/ or exporting to a foreign country such as Thailand?
2. What are some of the disadvantages Blades could face as a result of foreign trade in the short run? In the long run?
3. Which theories of international business described in this chapter apply to Blades, Inc., in the short run? In the long run?
4. What long-range plans other than establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand are an option for Blades and may be more suitable for the company?